Workshop on
SIMPLICITY AND LIKELIHOOD

November 13–15, 2009

Location: 28 Hillhouse Avenue, Room 106

WORKSHOP PROGRAM

Friday, November 13
12:30–2:00 Lunch & Registration, 28 Hillhouse Avenue, Ground Level
2:00–2:45 Nabil Al-Najjar, Northwestern University, "Coarse Decision Making"
2:45–3:30 Luciano De Castro, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, "A Subjective Foundation of Objective Probability"
3:30–4:00 Coffee Break
4:00–4:45 Malcolm Forster, University of Wisconsin, "Counterexamples to a Likelihood Theory of Evidence"
4:45–5:30 Peter Grunwald, CWI, "The Catch-Up Phenomenon in Model Selection and Prediction"
7:00 Workshop Dinner (By invitation)

Saturday, November 14
8:30–9:30 Breakfast
9:30–10:15 Joe Halpern, Cornell University "Cause, Responsibility, and Blame: A Structural-Model Approach"
10:15–10:45 Coffee Break
10:45–11:30 Yishay Mansour, Tel Aviv University, "Simplicity in Machine Learning"
11:30–12:15 Peter McCullagh, University of Chicago, "Selection Effects and Sampling Bias"
12:15–2:00 Lunch
2:00–2:45 James Robins, Harvard University, "Finding Causal Effects without Background Knowledge or Statistical Independencies"
2:45–3:30 Larry Wasserman, Carnegie Mellon University, "Sparse Estimators for Nonsparse Distributions"
3:30–4:00 Coffee Break
4:00–4:45 David Schmeidler, Ohio State University & Tel Aviv University, "Likelihood and Simplicity: An Axiomatic Approach"
4:45–5:30 David Wolpert, NASA "Physical Limits of Inference"

Sunday, November 15
8:30–9:30 Breakfast
9:30–10:15 Aris Spanos, Virginia Tech, "Akaike-type Criteria and the Reliability of Inference"
10:15–10:45 Coffee Break
10:45–11:30 David Pollard, Yale University, "Fat-Shattering Dimension and the Role of Majorizing Measures"
11:30–12:15 Larry Samuelson, Yale University, "Preferring Simplicity"
12:15–2:00 Lunch

Last updated: November 03, 2009