|
Cowles Foundation for
Research in Economics
WORKSHOP ON SIMPLICITY AND LIKELIHOOD
November 13–15, 2009
28 Hillhouse Avenue, Room 106 |
| FRIDAY |
12:30–2:00 |
Lunch & Registration, 28 Hillhouse
Avenue, Ground Level |
|
2:00–2:45 |
Nabil Al-Najjar, Northwestern University,
"Coarse Decision Making" |
|
2:45–3:30 |
Luciano De Castro, University of Illinois,
Urbana-Champaign, "A Subjective Foundation of Objective Probability" |
|
3:30–4:00 |
Coffee Break |
|
4:00–4:45 |
Malcolm Forster, University of Wisconsin,
"Counterexamples to a Likelihood Theory of Evidence" |
|
4:45–5:30 |
Peter Grunwald, CWI, "The Catch-Up
Phenomenon in Model Selection and Prediction" |
|
7:00 |
Dinner (by invitation) |
| SATURDAY |
8:30–9:30 |
Breakfast |
|
9:30–10:15 |
Joe Halpern, Cornell University
"Cause, Responsibility, and Blame: A Structural-Model Approach" |
|
10:15–10:45 |
Coffee Break |
|
10:45–11:30 |
Yishay Mansour, Tel Aviv University,
"Simplicity in Machine Learning" |
|
11:30–12:15 |
Peter McCullagh, University of Chicago,
"Selection Effects and Sampling Bias" |
|
12:15–2:00 |
Lunch |
|
2:00–2:45 |
James Robins, Harvard University,
"Finding Causal Effects without Background Knowledge or Statistical
Independencies" |
|
2:45–3:30 |
Larry Wasserman, Carnegie Mellon
University, "Sparse Estimators for Nonsparse Distributions" |
|
3:30–4:00 |
Coffee Break |
|
4:00–4:45 |
David Schmeidler, Ohio State University
& Tel Aviv University, "Likelihood and Simplicity: An Axiomatic Approach" |
|
4:45–5:30 |
David Wolpert, NASA "Physical Limits
of Inference" |
| SUNDAY |
8:30–9:30 |
Breakfast |
|
9:30–10:15 |
Aris Spanos, Virginia Tech,
"Akaike-type Criteria and the Reliability of Inference" |
|
10:15–10:45 |
Coffee Break |
|
10:45–11:30 |
David Pollard, Yale University,
"Fat-Shattering Dimension and the Role of Majorizing Measures" |
|
11:30–12:15 |
Larry Samuelson, Yale University,
"Preferring Simplicity" |
|
12:15–2:00 |
Lunch |