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DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
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Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics

SPECIAL PAPERS, PUBLICATIONS, AND SELECTED ARTICLES

1933–
1984
ALFRED COWLES, 3rd, Publications, etc.

"Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast?" A paper read before a joint meeting of the Econometric Society and the American Statistical Association, Cincinnati, Ohio, December 31, 1932 and reprinted in Econometrica, 1(3), July 1933, pp. 309–324.

"The Meeting of the Econometric Society in Cincinnati, Ohio, December, 1932," Econometrics, 1(2), April 1933, pp. 209–217.

"Analysis of 4½ Years of Forecasting by 41 Advisory Services and Publications," Stock Market Technique, ed. by Richard D. Wychoff, Vol. 2, No. 2, April 1933, esp. pp. 5–9.

"Some a Posteriori Probabilities in Stock Market Actions" (with Herbert E. Jones), reprinted in Econometrica, 5(3), July 1937, pp. 280–294.

"Alfred Cowles, 3rd, 1891–1984," Econometrica, 53(3): 683 (May 1985)

1936–
1940
Annual Research Conferences on Economics and Statistics

Report of the 2nd, July 6–August 8, 1936 (119pp)

Report of the 3rd, June 28–July 23, 1937 (109pp)

Report of the 4th, July 5–29, 1938 (106pp)

Report of the 5th, July 3–28, 1939 (93pp)

Report of the 6th, July 1–26, 1940 (99pp)

1947–
1954
COWLES COMMISSION, SPECIAL PAPERS

No. 1. John R. Menke, "Nuclear Fission as a Source of Power," Econometrica, Vol. 15, October, 1947, pp. 314–333.

No. 2. Jacob Marschak, Sam H. Schurr, and Philip Sporn, "The Economic Aspects of Atomic Power," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 2, Nos. 5 and 6, September, 1946, pp. 1–4; Proceedings Supplement of American Economic Review, Vol. 37, No. 2, May, 1947, pp. 98–117.

No. 3. Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Uses of Prices," Proceedings of the Conference on Operations Research in Production and Inventory Control, pp. 1–7. Cleveland: Case Institute of Technology, 1954.

1935–
1956
COWLES COMMISSION, SPECIAL PUBLICATIONS

Elements of Statistics, 1st ed., by Harold T. Davis and William F.C. Nelson. Bloomington: Principia Press, 1935, 424 pages. A revised and enlarged second edition (12,564 kb) was published in March, 1937, 434 pages.

Economic Aspects of Atomic Power (11,735 kb), An Exploratory Study under the direction of Sam H. Scurr and Jacob Marschak. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1950. 289 pages. An analysis of the potential applicability of atomic power in selected industries and its economic effects in both industrialized and underdeveloped areas.

Commodity Futures: A Study in the Economics of Uncertainty, by H.S. Houthakker (assisted by Lester G. Telser). A study of commodity futures markets which investigates the reaction of groups concerned with these markets to uncertainty about future developments. [Note: This monograph was never completed, Chapter 1 appears as CFDP 44 (1957).]

Income, Employment, and the Price Level (2,124 kb), notes on class lectures by Jacob Marschak. Autumn, 1948 and 1949, edited and with a Preface by David I. Fand and Harry Markowitz

Studies in the Economics of Transportation (7,259 kb), by Martin J. Beckmann, C.B. McGuire, and Christopher B. Winsten, introduction by Tjalling C. Koopmans. 1956. 232 pages. This exploratory study of highway and railroad systems examines their theoretical aspects and develops concepts and methods for assessing the capabilities and efficiency of existing and projected traffic systems

1952–
1994
COWLES COMMISSION/FOUNDATION

History of the Cowles Commission, 1932–1952, Carl Christ, Economic Theory and Measurement: A Twenty Year Research Report

Review Note of Economic Theory and Measurement: A Twenty Year Research Report, 1932-1952, Kenneth E. Boulding, KYKLOS, Nr. 2, Band 6.

The Cowles Commission in Chicago, 1939-1955, Clifford Hildreth, Center for Economic Research Discusson Paper No. 225, University of Minnesota, October 1985

The Cowles Commission's Contributions to Econometrics at Chicago, 19391955, Carl F. Christ, Journal of Economic Literature, 32(1) (March 1994), pp. 30–59

1983
50th ANNIVERSARY CELEBRATION

Arrow, Kenneth J., Cowles in the History of Economic Thought

Debreu, Gerard, Mathematical Economics at Cowles

Malinvaud, Edmond, Econometric Methodology at the Cowles Commission: Rise and Maturity

Solow, Robert M., Cowles and the Tradition of Macroeconomics

1986
JAMES TOBIN

James Tobin, in William Breit and Roger W. Spencer (eds.), Lives of the Laureates, Seven Nobel Economists. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1986

The Tobin Tax, edited by Mahbub ul Haq, Inge Kaul, and Isabelle Grunberg, Oxford University Press, 1996

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