 |
SEMINARS, 1943–1954
| 1943 | 1944 | 1945
| 1946 | 1947 | 1948 | 1949 | 1950 | 1951 | 1952 | 1953 | 1954 | |
| 1943 |
July 6 |
Leonid Hurwicz, "The Study of Price
Determination" |
|
July 22 |
Gerhard Tintner, Iowa State College,
"Verification of a Simplified Theory of Business Cycles" |
|
September 29 |
George Katona, "The Study of Price
Control and Rationing" |
|
November 3 |
Research assistants of the Committee on
Price Control and Rationing discussed various aspects of the study then in progress.
Speakers were: Rolf A.Weil, Marvin L. Braude, and Jack Letiche |
|
November 26 |
The discussion of price control and
rationing was continued. The speakers were: Sylvia M. Kafka, George Katona, and Jack
Letiche. Lt. (j.g.) Martin Hilby, U.S.N. (formerly of OPA) and Professor Theodore W.
Schultz also participated |
|
December 13 |
Tjalling Koopmans, Statistician of the
Combined Shipping Adjustment Board, "Dynamic Economic Systems" |
| 1944 |
January 31 |
Clark Warburton, Principal Economist,
Division of Research and Statistics, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, "Theories
of Monetary Control and the Need for a Responsible Monetary Authority" |
|
February 1 |
(joint session with Department of
Mathematics). Abraham Wald, Associate Professor of Economics, Columbia University,
"Statistical Inference" |
|
December 8 |
"Econometrics of Investment,"
discussion with Professor Jacob Viner |
| 1945 |
May 25-26 |
John von Neumann, Professor of Mathematics,
Institute for Advanced Study, "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" |
|
October 15 |
Lawrence R. Klein, "Index Numbers and
the Theory of Rational Behavior" |
|
October 22 |
Trygve Haavelmo, "Multiplier Effects
of a Balanced Budget" |
|
October 29 |
Jacob Viner, Professor of Economics, The
University of Chicago, "Discussion of Trygve Haavelmo's Monograph, "The
Probability Approach in Econometrics'" (supplement to Econometrica, Vol. 12,
July, 1944) |
|
November 19 |
Donald M. Fort, The University of Chicago,
"A Modified Keynesian Theory" |
|
November 26 |
Richard Stone, Director, Department of
Applied Economics, University of Cambridge, "National Income and Social
Accounting" |
|
December 10 |
W. Edwards Deming, Bureau of the Budget,
Washington, DC, "On Some Criteria of Sampling, with an Illustration in Population
Sampling" |
|
December 17 |
George Katona, Division of Program Surveys,
Bureau of Agricultural Economics, U.S. Department of Agriculture, "Wartime Savings
and Their Effects" |
| 1946 |
January 8 |
Leonid Hurwicz, "Analysis of the
Economic Stagnation Thesis" |
|
January 22 |
Theodore W. Anderson, Jr.,
"Statistical Tests of Rank and Estimation of the Linear Relations between Expected
Values" |
|
February 5 |
Roy B. Leipnik, "Distribution of the
Serial Correlation Coefficient" |
|
February 19 |
H. Gregg Lewis, "Some Problems in the
Analysis of Demand for Steel" |
|
March 19 |
Trygve Haavelmo, "Analysis of Demand
for Agricultural Products" |
|
April 2 |
Leonid Hurwicz, "Theory of the Firm
and of Investment" |
|
April 17 |
Lawrence R. Klein, "National Product
Forecasts for the Reconversion Period" |
|
May 1 |
Walter Bartky, Dean of the Division of
Physical Sciences, "Recent Applications of Statistics in Physical Science" |
|
May 22 |
Everett R. Hagen, Office of War
Mobilization and Reconversion, "Forecasting National Product and Employment" |
|
June 3 |
Jan Tinbergen, Professor of Statistics,
Rotterdam School of Economics, "Discontinuous Functions in Economics" |
|
June 4 |
Jan Tinbergen, Professor of Statistics,
Rotterdam School of Economics, "Theory of Speculative Demand for Raw Materials" |
|
October 9 |
E.J. Working, Professor of Agricultural
Economics, University of Illinois, "What Would Prices Have Been Without Controls? Can
Statistical Analyses of Demand Tell Us?" |
|
October 26 |
J.R. Hicks, Professor of Economics,
University of Oxford, "The Aggregation of Consumers' Surplus" |
|
November 6 |
Dorothy S. Brady, Chief, Cost of Living
Division, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, "Interpretation of
Consumption Data in the Derivation of Standard Budgets" |
|
November 21 |
Trygve Haavelmo, "Econometric Methods
and Agricultural Policy" |
|
December 5 |
Kenneth May, "Tentative Methods of
Dealing with Technological Change" |
| 1947 |
January 16 |
Sam H. Schurr, "Economic Aspects of
Atomic Energy as a Source of Power" |
|
February 14 |
Ragnar Frisch, Professor of Economics,
University of Norway, Oslo, "Some Basic Formulae in Demand Analysis" |
|
February 20 |
Sewall Wright, Professor of Zoology,
University of Chicago, "The Method of Path Coefficients" |
|
March 6 |
Abba P. Lerner, Professor of Economics, New
School for Social Research, New York, "Wages, Inflation and Deflation" |
|
April 1 |
Harald Cramer, Professor of Mathematics,
University of Stockholm, Sweden, "Stationary Stochastic Processes" |
|
April 10 |
Abba P. Lerner, Professor of Economics, New
School for Social Research, New York, "Economic Planning in a Free Market" |
|
May 8 |
Martin Bronfenbrenner, Federal Reserve Bank
of Chicago, and Department of Economics, Roosevelt College, "Comparison of
Full-Employment Forecasts" |
|
May 22 |
Rensis Likert, Director, Survey Research
Center, University of Michigan, "Sample Survey as a Tool for Economic Research" |
|
August 7 |
Harold Hotelling, Professor, University of
North Carolina, "Statistical Problems of Welfare Economics" |
|
October 9 |
Colin Clark, Director, Bureau of Industry,
and Financial Adviser to the State Treasury of Queensland, Australia, "Social
Implications of Economic Growth" |
|
October 23 |
Milton Friedman, Associate Professor of
Economics, University of Chicago, "Utility Analysis of Gambling and Insurance" |
|
November 6 |
Herbert A. Simon, Professor of Political
Science, Illinois Institute of Technology, "Some Economic Effects of Technological
Progress" |
|
November 20 |
Dr. George Rasch, State Serum Institute,
Copenhagen, Denmark, "Statistical Analysis of Growth Curves" |
| 1948 |
January 29 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Welfare
Economics of Transportation and Location" (in collaboration with the Program of
Education and Research in Planning) |
|
February 12 |
Anatol Rapoport, Research Associate in
Mathematical Biology, and Alphonso Shimbel, Research Associate in Mathematical Biology,
"Suggestions for Measuring the Satisfaction Functions of Animals" |
|
February 24 |
Ewan Clague, U.S. Commissioner of Labor
Statistics, "Productivity, Wages, and the American Standard of Living" (jointly
with the Chicago Chapter of the American Statistical Association) |
|
February 26 |
Frederick Mosteller, Associate Professor of
Social Relations, Harvard University, "Graphical Analysis of Data Obtained by
Counting" |
|
March 18 |
Gerhard Tintner, Professor of Economics,
Iowa State College, "Foundations of Probability and Statistical Inference"
(jointly with the Statistical Techniques Group, Chicago Chapter, American Statistical
Association) |
|
April 15 |
Melvin G. De Chazeau, Professor of Business
Economics and Marketing, University of Chicago, "Interviewing of Businessmen" |
|
April 29 |
Karl Menger, Professor of Mathematics,
Illinois Institute of Technology, "A Geometric Theory of Index Numbers" |
|
May 13 |
H. Gregg Lewis, Assistant Professor of
Economics, University of Chicago, "Observations on Duopoly" |
|
May 27 |
L.H.C. Tippett, Statistician to the British
Cotton Industry Research Association and Visiting Lecturer, Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, "Investigations of Industrial Efficiency" |
|
June 10 |
Jacob Marschak, "Money Illusion, Price
Level, and Employment" |
|
October 21 |
Lloyd A. Metzler, Associate Professor of
Economics, University of Chicago, "Tariffs, the Terms of Trade and the Distribution
of National Income" |
|
November 4 |
William E. Henry, Assistant Professor in
the Committee on Human Development, University of Chicago, "Personality and the
Performance of Executives" |
|
November 18 |
Fetter J. Bjerve, Chief of Economic
Planning Division, Norwegian Ministry of Trade, "Government Economic Planning in
Norway" (jointly with the Program of Education and Research in Planning) |
|
December 9 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "The Econometric
Approach to Business Fluctuations" |
| 1949 |
January 9 |
L.J. Savage, Research Associate in
Mathematics, University of Chicago, "The Theory of Games: Zero-Sum Games" |
|
January 20 |
Kenneth J. Arrow, "The Theory of
Games: Multi-Person Games" |
|
February 17 |
Kenneth J. Arrow, "The Theory of
Games: Applications to Economics" |
|
March 3 |
Jacob Marschak, "The Theory of Games:
Measurable Utility" |
|
March 10 |
M.A. Girshick, Professor of Statistics,
Stanford University, "The Theory of Games: Continuous Games" |
|
March 31 |
L.J. Savage, "The Theory of Games:
Application to Statistical Inference" |
|
April 14 |
Herbert A. Simon, "The Theory of
Games: Application to Politics and Administration" |
|
May 12 |
Herman Rubin, "Statistical Treatment
of Nonlinear Econometric Models" |
|
May 26 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Utility
Analysis of Decisions Involving Future Periods" |
|
October 6 |
Tibor Scitovsky, Department of Economics,
Stanford University, "The Meaning of National Product Estimates" |
|
October 20 |
Anatol Rapoport, Committee on Mathematical
Biology, University of Chicago, "Outline of a Mathematical Approach to Animal
Sociology" |
|
November 3 |
Nicolas Rashevsky, Committee on
Mathematical Biology, University of Chicago, "Suggestions for a Mathematical Biology
of Imitative Behavior"` |
|
November 17 |
Carl Christ, "Econometric Models and
Predictions for the United States" |
|
December 8 |
Leonid Hurwicz, "Estimation Bias Due
to Incorrect Choice of Model" (jointly with the Statistics Club, University of
Chicago) |
|
December 15 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Efficient
Allocation of Resources" |
| 1950 |
January 5 |
Charles J. Hitch, The RAND Corporation,
"Planning Defense Production" |
|
January 12 |
A.W. Tucker, Department of Mathematics,
Princeton University, "Feasibility, Existence, and Duality Theorems of Linear
Programming" |
|
February 2 |
Chauncy D. Harris, Department of Geography,
University of Chicago, "Theory of Location and Soviet Planning" |
|
February 9 |
Erich Schneider, Department of Economics,
University of Kiel, Germany, "The Problem of Replacement of Industrial
Equipment" |
|
March 2 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Identification
of Structure in Factor Analysis and in Econometrics" (jointly with the Statistics
Club, University of Chicago) |
|
March 16 |
Robert H. Strotz, Department of Economics,
Northwestern University, and N. Frank Morehouse, Aerial Measurements Laboratory,
Northwestern University, "The Application of the Electro-Analog Computer to Problems
in Economic Dynamics" |
|
March 30 |
Julius Margolis, Program of Education and
Research in Planning, University of Chicago, "National Economic Accounting and
Economic Policy" |
|
April 13 |
Gerhard Tintner, Department of Economics,
Iowa State College, "External Economies in Consumption" |
|
April 27 |
Earl J. Hamilton, Department of Economics,
University of Chicago, "Four Centuries of Spanish Prices" |
|
May 11 |
Franco Modigliani, "Empirical Studies
of Expectations and Investment Decisions" |
|
May 18 |
Lawrence R. Klein, Survey Research Center,
University of Michigan, and National Bureau of Economic Research, "Sample Surveys and
Household Behavior" |
|
May 25 |
A.J. Brown, Department of Economics,
University of Leeds, England, "Some Recent Examples of the Price-Wage Spiral" |
|
June 15 |
Eric Lundberg, Institute of Conjuncture,
Stockholm, Sweden, "Wage Policy and Full Employment — With Special Reference to
Swedish Experience" |
|
October 12 |
John F. Nash, Princeton University,
"The Extended Bargaining Problem" |
|
October 26 |
Rudolph Carnap, Department of Philosophy,
University of Chicago, "A New Theory of Probability: Degree of Confirmation and
Inductive Inference" |
|
November 9 |
Leonard J. Savage, Committee on Statistics,
University of Chicago, "De Finetti's Theory of Subjective Probability with Reference
to the Statistical Decision Problem" |
|
November 16 |
Lloyd A. Metzler, Department of Economics,
University of Chicago, "The Pigou Effect and the Rate of Interest" |
|
November 30 |
Jacob Marschak, "Recent Discussions on
Utility and Probability, and the Late Frank Ramsey" |
|
December 21 |
Kenneth J. Arrow, "Alternative
Approaches to the Theory of Choice in Risk-Taking Situations" |
| 1951 |
January 11 |
Harold T. Davis, "Some Implications of
the Curve of Income Distribution" |
|
January 25 |
Herman Chernoff, Department of Mathematics,
University of Illinois, "Rational Selection of Decision Functions" |
|
February 1 |
D. Van Dantzig, Department of Mathematics,
University of Amsterdam, "On the Linking up of Probability Theory to Empirical
Sciences" |
|
February 15 |
Louis L. Thurstone, Department of
Psychology, University of Chicago, "Consumer Preferences and the Prediction of
Choices" |
|
March 1 |
Leonid Hurwicz, "The Mathematics of
Welfare Economics: An Introduction" |
|
March 15 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Generalizations
of Leontief's Input-Output Model" |
|
March 29 |
Leonid Hurwicz, "Optimization Rules in
a Decentralized Economy" |
|
April 12 |
Morton L. Slater, "Optimization under
Constraints: A Central Economic Problem and the Mathematical Tools for Its Solution" |
|
April 26 |
Louis Guttman, Israel Institute of Applied
Social Research, "Qualitative Data and the Theory of Scaling" (Jointly with
Committee on Statistics, University of Chicago) |
|
May 3 |
Gerard Debreu, "The Efficiency of an
Economic System" |
|
May 10 |
Clifford Hildreth, "Derivation of
Social Welfare Functions from Individual Utility Functions" |
|
May 24 |
John Chipman, University of Chicago,
"Oscillations in a Multi-Sector Economy" |
|
June 12 |
M.G. Kendall, London School of Economics,
"Testing Significance in Cases Where There Is Autocorrelation in Residuals of a Time
Series" |
|
October 18 |
Melville J. Herskovits, Northwestern
University, "Rational Behavior and Cultural Relativism" |
|
November 1 |
Howard Raiffa, University of Michigan,
"Arbitration Schemes for Generalized Two-Person Games," presented at the Cowles
Commission Conference on the Problem of Decision-Making |
|
November 15 |
Herbert A. Simon, "Some Mathematical
Models in Social Sciences" |
|
November 19 |
Karl Menger, Illinois Institute of
Technology, "Probabilistic Theory of Relations" |
|
December 13 |
Robert H. Strotz, "Problems in the
Pure Theory of Income Redistribution" |
| 1952 |
January 10 |
Milton Friedman, University of Chicago,
"Price, Income, and Monetary Changes in Three Wartime Periods" |
|
January 14 |
Karl Faxen, University of Stockholm,
"Games with Nonmeasurable Utilities" |
|
February 7 |
Lawrence R. Klein, "Evaluation of
Consumers' Expenditures Survey Data" |
|
February 11 |
Herbert D. Landahl, University of Chicago,
"A Neurobiophysical Interpretation of Certain Aspects of the Problem of Risks" |
|
March 6 |
H.S. Houthakker, 'The Free Demand for
Rationed Foodstuffs in Britain" |
|
March 17 |
Clyde H. Coombs, University of Michigan,
"Measurement of Individual and Social Utility" |
|
April 10 |
Herbert A. Simon, "The Logic of
Causality," presented at the Conference on Business Decision-Making sponsored jointly
with Carnegie Institute of Technology and the University of Illinois |
|
April 14 |
Robert M. Thrall, University of Michigan,
"A General Theory of Measurement and the Michigan Interdisciplinary Training
Program" |
|
May 8 |
James G. Miller, University of Chicago,
"The Executive of the Personality and Decision-Making" |
|
May 11 |
Franco Modigliani, "Some Empirical
Results of an Analysis of Expectations and Plans of Firms" |
|
October 9 |
Abba P. Lerner, Roosevelt College,
"Social Welfare Functions" |
|
October 23 |
Leo Tornqvist, "Some Remarks about the
Decision Concept" |
|
November 6 |
Colin Clark, University of Oxford, "A
New Theory of Industrial Location" |
|
November 20 |
Milton Friedman, University of Chicago,
"The Effect of Individual Choice on the Income Distribution" |
|
December 4 |
Jacob Marschak, "Some Building Stones
for a Theory of Organizations" |
|
December 18 |
Tjalling C. Koopmans, "Activity
Analysis and Its Applications" |
| 1953 |
January 15 |
H.S. Houthakker, "Theory of Futures
Markets" |
|
January 29 |
O.H. Brownlee, University of Minnesota,
"The Effects of Taxation on the Price Level in The Short Run" |
|
February 12 |
Martin Beckmann, "Some Implications of
Activity Analysis for Price Theory" |
|
February 26 |
T.A. Hieronymus, University of Illinois,
"An Empirical Study of Price Expectations and Marketing Decisions" |
|
March 12 |
Lawrence R. Klein, "Some Preliminary
Estimates of a New Econometric Model for the United States" |
|
April 9 |
Clifford Hildreth, "Relations
Affecting Livestock Production and Price" |
|
April 23 |
Anatol Rapoport, University of Chicago,
"Theory of Communication Nets" |
|
May 7 |
Robert l. Gustafson, University of Chicago,
"Optimum Storage Rules for Grains" |
|
May 21 |
J.R.N. Stone, University of Cambridge,
"A Cambridge View on Economic Research" |
|
October 8 |
Arnold C. Harberger, "Estimating
Economic Parameters" |
|
October 22 |
D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago,
"Regional and Occupational Differences in Income in the United States" |
|
November 5 |
Robert H. Strotz, Northwestern University,
"The Optimal Rate of Plant Expansion" |
|
November 19 |
Roy Radner, "The Firm as a Team" |
|
December 3 |
Andrew Vazsonyi, Hughes Aircraft Company,
"The Use of Mathematics in Production and Inventory Control" |
| 1954 |
January 28 |
Sigbert J. Prais, "Equivalent Adults,
Economies of Scale, and Standard of Living" |
|
February 11 |
Lloyd A. Metzler, University of Chicago,
"A Second Look at the Transfer Problem" |
|
February 25 |
George Katona, University of Michigan,
"On the Prediction Value of Economic Attitudes" |
|
March 11 |
G.W. Platzman, University of Chicago,
"The Use of High-Speed Computers in Meteorology" |
|
April 8 |
Arnold Tustin, Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, "Problems of System Analysis in Engineering and Economics" |
|
April 22 |
Thomas E. Caywood, Caywood–Schiller
Associates, "A Problem in Applied Game Theory" |
|
May 11 |
Robert R. Bush, Harvard University,
"The Analysis of Latency Data" |
|
May 13 |
Franco Modigliani, Carnegie Institute of
Technology, "The Consumption Function" |
|
May 27 |
Alfred Kraessel, University of Chicago,
"Some Economic Aspects of Latin America" |
|
June 10 |
Richard L. Meier, University of Chicago,
"On Creativity" |
