APPENDIX I
STAFF PUBLICATIONS AND ADDRESSES
JULY I, 1950–JUNE 30, 1951

STEPHEN G. ALLEN

"Minimax Solutions for Two-Valued Decision Problems when the Size of Sample is Fixed," presented June 16, 1951, before the Institute of Mathematical Statistics.


T.W. ANDERSON

"The Asymptotic Distribution of Certain Characteristic Roots and Vectors," presented August 3, 1950, at the Second Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, University of California, Berkeley, CA.

"Multivariate Analysis," A Half Century of Progress address, presented December 27, 1950, before the American Statistical Association, Econometric Society, and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, IL.

Discussion of Problems of Incorrect and Incomplete Specification, presented December 29, 1950, before the Econometric Society and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, Illinois.

"Asymptotic Theory of Certain ‘Goodness of Fit' Criteria Based on Stochastic Processes" (with D.A. Darling), presented December 29, 1950, before the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, IL. (Abstract in Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 22, March, 1951, p. 143.)

"The Asymptotic Properties of Estimates of the Parameters of a Single Equation in a Complete System of Stochastic Equations" (with Herman Rubin), Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 21, December, 1950, pp. 570–582. (Included in Cowles Commission Papers, New Series, No. 36.)

"Errors and Shocks in Economic Relationships" (with Leonid Hurwicz), Proceedings of the International Statistical Conferences, held in Washington, DC, September 6–18, 1947, Vol. 5, 1950. (Reprinted in Supplement to Econometrica, Vol. 17, July, 1949, pp. 23–25.)

"Theory of Multivariate Statistical Analysis" and "Time Series Analysis," Course Lectures, Winter, 1950–51, Columbia University.

"Correlation Theory and Elementary Multivariate Analysis" and "Seminar in Advanced Mathematical Statistics," Course Lectures, Spring, 1951, Columbia University.

"Classification by Multivariate Analysis," Psychometrika, Vol. 16, March, 1951, pp. 31–50.

"Probability Models for Analyzing Time Changes in Attitudes" (mimeographed), Columbia University and The RAND Corporation Project.

For contribution to Statistical Inference in Dynamic Economic Models, Cowles Commission Monograph 10, see Appendix IV.


KENNETH J. ARROW

Review of "A Correction to `Note on a Problem of Ragnar Frisch' " by C. Radhakrishna Rao, Mathematical Reviews, Vol. II, April, 1950, p. 259 (not included in previous report).

"An Extension of the Basic Theorems of Classical Welfare Economics," presented August 4, 1950, at a joint session of the Econometric Society and the Second Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, Berkeley, California. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 19, January, 1951, p. 53.)

"A Difficulty in the Concept of Social Welfare," Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 58, August, 1950, pp. 328–346.

"Optimal Inventory Policy" [with T. Harris and J. Marschak (hectographed)], George Washington University Logistics Papers, Issue No. 4, Appendix I to Quarterly Progress Report No. 5, 16 November, 1950–15 February, 1951 (to be published in Econometrica).

"Alternative Approaches to the Theory of Choice in Risk-Taking Situations," presented December 21, 1950, at a Cowles Commission Seminar, and December 27, before the American Economic Association, American Statistical Association, Econometric Society, and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, IL (to be published in Econometrica).

Review of Income, Savings, and the Theory of Consumer Behavior by James S. Duesenberry, American Economic Review, Vol. 40, December, 1950, pp. 906–911.

Review of "The Bargaining Problem" by John F. Nash, Jr., Mathematical Reviews, Vol. 12, January, 1951, p. 40.

"Admissible Points of Convex Sets" (with D. Blackwell), presented February 13, 1951, at a joint Stanford University and University of California Statistics Seminar, Berkeley, California.

Course Lectures on Statistical Analysis, Elementary Statistical Analysis, Time Series Analysis, Theory of Games, and Special Topics in Dynamic Economics, 1950–51, Stanford University.

Social Choice and Individual Values, Cowles Commission Monograph 12 (see Appendix IV).

For contribution to Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Cowles Commission Monograph 13, see Appendix IV.


CARL CHRIST

Discussion of "Productivity in the Airframe Industry," presented December 27, 1950, before the Econometric Society, Chicago, Illinois.

Course Lectures on Elementary Statistics, Economic Statistics, Elements of Economics, and Econometrics, 1950–51, Johns Hopkins University.

HAROLD T. DAVIS

Review of "Formulas for Complex Cartesian Interpolation of Higher Degree" by Herbert E. Salzer, Mathematical Tables and Other Aids to Computation, Vol. 4, July, 1950, pp. 147–148.

"Pareto: His Significance to Modern Economics," presented December 27, 1950, before the American Economic Association and the Econometric Society, Chicago, Illinois.

"Some Implications of the Curve of Income Distribution," presented January 11, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

Quantitative Aspects of the Action of Carcinogenic Substances (mimeographed), 195I, vii + 147 pp.

The Theory of Nonlinear Operators (mimeographed), 120 pp.


GERARD DEBREU

"The Coefficient of Resource Utilization," presented August 31, 1950, at the Harvard meeting of the Econometric Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts (to be published in Econometrica).

Discussion of "A Mathematical Model Illustrating Some Problems in the Theory of Investment Decisions" by David Durand, presented December 27, 1950, before the Econometric Society, Chicago, Illinois.

"Effect of Technological Change on Production Potential," presented April; 7, 1951, at the Conference on Quantitative Description of Technological Change, Princeton University.

"The Efficiency of an Economic System," presented May 3, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

"Socialist Economics," presented May 8, 1951, before the Political Economy Club, University of Chicago.

"Efficiency Prices as Guides for Decentralized Decisions," presented June 15, 1951, at the Symposium on Linear Inequalities and Programming, Washington, DC.


NATHAN J. DIVINSKY

Course Lectures on Elementary Mathematics, Statistics, Theory of Equations, Solid Analytic Geometry, and Modern Algebra, Ripon College, Wisconsin.


KIRK FOX

Course Lectures on Introductory and Intermediate Statistics, Spring, 1951, Northwestern University School of Commerce.


JOHN GURLAND

"Testing Linear Hypotheses," Course Lectures, Winter, 1951, University of Chicago.

"Theory of Statistical Estimation," Course Lectures, Spring, 1951, University of Chicago.

"On Asymptotically Normal Efficient Estimators: I" (with E.W. Barankin), University of California Publications in Statistics, Vol. I, No. 6, Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1951, pp.89–130.


TRYGVE HAAVELMO

Lectures on Econometric Methods at the Universities of Lund and Stockholm, Sweden, October 30–November 3, 1950.

"Theories on Productive Efforts" (mimeographed lecture notes, in Norwegian), Oslo, 1950.

"The Notion of Price Homogeneity," in a special volume in honor of Professor Jorgen Pedersen, Aarhus: Aarhus University Printing Office, 1951.

"Statistical Theory" (mimeographed lecture notes, in Norwegian), Oslo, 1951.

Course Lectures in Econometric Methods, Statistics, and Economic Theory, 1950–51, University of Oslo.

For contribution to Statistical Inference in Dynamic Economic Models, Cowles Commission Monograph 10, see Appendix IV.


CLIFFORD HILDRETH

"’Possibilities' and Statistical Analysis," presented July 13, 1950, at the Economic Efficiency Seminar, Social Science Research Council Project in Agricultural Economics, University of Chicago.

"A Model of Farm Production," presented August 9, 1950, at the above seminar.

Discussion of "Economic Theory, Statistics, and Economic Policy," presented December 27, 1950, before the American Economic Association, American Statistical Association, and Econometric Society, Chicago, Illinois.

"Introduction to Econometrics," Course Lectures, Winter, 1951, University of Chicago.

"Derivation of Social Welfare Functions from Individual Utility Functions," presented May 10, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

For contribution to Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Cowles Commission Monograph 13, see Appendix IV.


WILLIAM C. HOOD

Abstract of discussion of "Analysis of the Multi-Part Economy," Econometrica, Vol. 18, July, 1950, pp. 287–288.

"The Treatment of Certain Economic Research Problems Mathematically and Statistically," presented January 31 and February 7, 1951, at the Seminar in Applied Mathematics and Physics, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Toronto.

Course Lectures in Mathematical Economics, 1950–51, University of Toronto.

Course Lectures in Statistical Analysis, 1950–51, University of Toronto. Discussion at Seminar on Theory of Games, Department of Mathematics, University of Toronto.


LEONID HURWICZ

"A Theory of Stabilizing Business Fluctuations" (abstract), Econometrica, Vol. 18, July, 1950, pp. 278–279.

"Theory of Economic Organization," presented August 5, 1950, before the Econometric Society, Berkeley, California. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 19, January, 1951, p. 54.)

"Some Specification Problems and Applications to Econometric Models," presented December 29, 1950, before the Econometric Society and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, Illinois.

"Errors and Shocks in Economic Relationships" (with T.W. Anderson), Proceedings of the International Statistical Conferences, held in Washington, DC, September 6–18, 1947, Vol. 5, 1950. (Reprinted in Supplement to Econometrica, Vol. 17, July, 1949, pp. 23–25.)

"Mathematics of Welfare Economics: An Introduction," presented March 1, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

"Optimization Rules in a Decentralized Economy," presented March 29, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

"Decentralized Optimization," presented April 9, 1951, at a joint seminar on Econometrics and Theory of Games, Princeton University.

"Statistical Treatment of Time Series," presented April 17, 1951, before the University of Illinois Chapter of the American Statistical Association.

"Generalized Minimax-Bayes Solutions," presented May 22, 1951, at the Mathematical Statistics Seminar, University of Illinois.

"Discussion of paper by Wassily Leontief on Structural Change, presented April 7, 1951, at the Conference on Quantitative Description of Technological Change, Princeton, University.

"Gradient Methods in Lagrangian Problems and their Game-Theoretic Interpretation," presented June 15, 1951, at the Symposium on Linear Inequalities and Programming, Washington, DC.

"Uncertainty in Organization Theory," presented June 19, 1951, at the Carnegie Institute of Technology.

For contributions to Statistical Inference in Dynamic Economic Models, Cowles Commission Monograph 10, see Appendix IV.


LAWRENCE R. KLEIN

"Stock and Flow Analysis in Economics" and "Further Comment," Econometrica, Vol. 18, July, 1950, pp. 236–241, 246.

"The Integration of Cross-Section and Time-Series Data" (abstract), Econometrica, Vol. 18, July, 1950, pp. 280–281.

"The Dynamics of Price Flexibility: A Comment," American Economic Review, Vol. 40, September, 1950, pp. 605–609.

"Sample Surveys of Households: A New Tool in Econometrics," presented December 29, 1950, before the American Economic Association, Econometric Society, and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, IL.

"Estimating Patterns of Consumer Behavior from Sample Surveys," presented March 14, 1951, before the Detroit Chapter of the American Statistical Association.

Economic Fluctuations in the United States, 1921–1941, Cowles Commission Monograph 11 (see Appendix IV).


TJALLING C. KOOPMANS

"Efficiency Aspects of Dispersal of Population and Industry," presented July 7, 1950, at the Logistics Conference of The RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California.

"Recent Developments in the Theory of Production," presented September 6, 1950, before the Econometric Society, Varese, Italy.

"Maximization and Substitution in Linear Models of Production," presented September 28, 1950, at a Conference on Input–Output Analysis, Driebergen, The Netherlands.

"Convex Cones and the Economic Theory of Production," presented November 25, 1950, before the Mathematical Society, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Lectures, under various titles, on the Theory of Production and Allocation, presented October 5, 1950, at the Seminar on Production Theory, University Economic Institute, Oslo; October 14, at the Economics Seminar, University of Uppsala, Sweden; October 31–November 23, for the Department of Economics, University of Amsterdam; November 25, before the Mathematical Society, Amsterdam; December 7, at a Seminar of the Department of Applied Economics, Cambridge University; December 15, at the Institute of Applied Economics, Paris.

Lectures on the Theory of Transportation, presented October 16, 1950, at the Economics Seminar, University of Stockholm; October 19, at the Economics Seminar, University of Copenhagen; November 20, at the Mathematical Seminar, Technological Institute, Delft, The Netherlands; November 29, at the Economics Seminar, London School of Economics; December 19, at the Economics Seminar, Ecole des Mines, Paris.

Lectures dealing with Problems of Specification, Identification, and Estimation in Statistical Model Construction in Econometrics, presented October 1950, before the Statistical Institute, University of Uppsala; October 18, at the Institute of Statistics, University of Stockholm; October 20, at the Statistical Seminar, University of Copenhagen; October 27–November 21, at the Netherlands Economic University, Rotterdam;

November for the Netherlands Statistical Association and the Mathematical Center, Amsterdam; November 28, at the Seminar on Econometrics, London School of Economics; December 22, at the Institut Henri Poincare, Paris.

Lectures on the Dynamic Theory of Consumers' Choice, presented December 4, 1950, at the Economics Seminar, Oxford University; December 21, at the Economics Seminar, Ecole des Ponts et Chaussees, Paris.

"Optimum Utilization of the Transportation System," Proceedings of the International Statistical Conferences, held in Washington, DC, September 6–18, 1947, Vol. 5, 1950. (Reprinted in Supplement to Econometrica, Vol. 17, July, 1949, pp. 136–146; to be reprinted as Cowles Commission Paper, New Series, No. 34.)

"Generalizations of Leontief's Input–Output Model," presented March 15, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

"Allocation of Resources in Production," Course Lectures, Winter, 1951, University of Chicago.

"Statistical Problems of Model Construction," Course Lectures, Spring, 1951, University of Chicago.

Discussion of "Efficiency Prices as Guides for Decentralized Decisions" by Gerard Debreu, presented June 15, 1951, at the Symposium on Linear Inequalities and Programming, Washington, DC.

For contributions to Statistical Inference in Dynamic Economic Models, Cowles Commission Monograph 10 (Tjalling C. Koopmans, ed.), see Appendix IV.

For contributions to Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Cowles Commission Monograph 13 (Tjalling C. Koopmans, ed.), see Appendix IV.


HARRY MARKOWITZ

"Theories of Uncertainty and Financial Behavior," presented December 27, 1950, before the Econometric Society, Chicago, Illinois.


JACOB MARSCHAK

"Review of "Revisione della teoria matematica dell'interesse" by Luigi Amoroso, Mathematical Reviews, Vol. 11, July–August, 1950, p. 531.

"Why `Should' Statisticians and Businessmen Maximize Moral Expectation?" presented August 4, 1950, at a joint session of the Econometric Society and the Second Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, Berkeley, California. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 19, January, 1951, pp. 52–53.)

"Demand for Cash and for Inventories under Certainty," presented August 7, 1950, before the Department of Economics, Stanford University.

"The Rationale of the Demand for Money and of ‘Money Illusion,' " Metroeconomica, Vol. 2, August, 1950, pp. 71–100. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 18, July, 1950, pp. 272–274.)

"Rational Inventories: A Study in Uncertainty," presented November 20, 1950, before the Political Economy Club, University of Chicago.

"Recent Discussions on Utility and Probability, and the Late Frank Ramsey," presented November 30, 1950, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.

"Optimal Inventory Policy" [with Kenneth J. Arrow and T. Harris (hectographed)], George Washington University Logistics Papers, Issue No. 4, Appendix I to Quarterly Progress Report No. 5, 16 November, 1950–15 February, 1951 (to be published in Econometrica).

"Probability in the Social Sciences," three lectures presented December 6, 7, 8, 1950, before the Department of Sociology, Columbia University.

Discussion of "Progress in the Analysis of Demand," presented December 1950, before the American Economic Association, American Statistical Association, and Econometric Society, Chicago, Illinois.

Course Lectures on Income, Employment, and the Price Level, Autumn, 1950, University of Chicago.

"Models for Inventory Policy, Static and Dynamic," presented January 3, 1951, at the Office of Naval Research Conference on Logistics, George Washington University, Washington, DC.

Seminar on Economics of Uncertainty, Winter, 1951, University of Chicago.

For contribution to Statistical Inference in Dynamic Economic Models, Cowles Commission Monograph 10, see Appendix IV.

Economic Aspects of Atomic Power (with Sam H. Schurr et al.), Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1950, 289 pp. (For Table of Contents see Appendix IV.)

Income, Employment, and the Price Level, Notes on lectures given at the University of Chicago, Autumn, 1948 and 1949, New York: Augustus M. Kelley, 1951, 95 pp.


FRANCO MODIGLIANI

Discussion of Analysis of Choices Involving Risk, presented December 1950, before the American Economic Association, American Statistical Association, Econometric Society, and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, Illinois.

"Use of Sample Surveys of Business Expectations," presented December 29, 1950, before the American Economic Association, Econometric Society, and Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Chicago, Illinois.

"An Introduction to the Method of Mathematical Economics," Course Lectures, Autumn, 1950, University of Illinois.


HERBERT A. SIMON

Discussion of Theory of Automata, presented September 5, 1950, at the Harvard meeting of the Econometric Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 19, January, 1951, p. 72.)

"Modern Organizational Theories," Advanced Management, Vol. 15, October, 1950, pp. 2–4.

"The Use of Theoretical Models in Political Science," presented December 1950, before the American Political Science Association, Washington DC.

"The Analysis of Promotional Opportunities," Personnel, Vol. 27, January, 1951, pp. 282–53.

"The Ingredients of Organization Theory," presented March 1, 1951, before the Sloan Fellows, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

"Alternatives to Economic Man," presented March 2, 1951, at the Economics Seminar, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

"Formal Aspects of Organization as Related to Communication," presented April 10, 1951, at the Seminar on Communication Theory, Columbia University.

Chapters XIII and XIV in Economic Aspects of Atomic Power. (See Appendix IV.)

For contribution to Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Cowles Commission Monograph 13, see Appendix IV.


MORTON SLATER

"Mathematical Methods in the Study of Efficiency in Production Models," presented September 4, 1950, at the Harvard meeting of the Econometric Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 19, January, 1951, pp. 68–69.)

"Some Generalizations of a Real Variable Lemma due to Cesari," presented January 17. 1951, at the Analysis Seminar, Department of Mathematics, University of Chicago.

"A Note on Motzkin's Transposition Theorem," Econometrica, Vol. 19, April, 1951, pp. 185–187.

"Optimization under Constraints: A Central Economic Problem and the Mathematical Tools for Its Solution," presented April 12, 1951, at a Cowles Commission Seminar.


ERLING SVERDRUP

"Prediction Problems and the Theory of Statistical Decision Functions," presented September 1, 1950, at the Harvard meeting of the Econometric Society, Cambridge, Massachusetts. (Abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 19, January, 1951, p. 61.)

"Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics" and "Life Insurance Mathematics," Course Lectures, January 15–June 15, 1951, University of Oslo, Norway.

"Recent Ideas in Mathematical Statistics," presented in April, 1951, before the Norwegian Society of Actuaries.

APPENDIX II
LIST OF COURSES AT THE UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO IN ECONOMETRICS,
MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS, ECONOMIC THEORY, AND STATISTICS

USE OF ELEMENTARY MATHEMATICS IN ECONOMICS. Discussion of students' solutions of problems pertaining to the dimensionality of economic magnitudes; to the presentation of economic theories as systems of quantitative relations; to the use of the maximization principle; to the aggregation over individuals and over commodities; to the formulation of dynamic theories; to the use of random variables in economics; and to the comparison of policy results.

PROBLEMS IN MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS. Elements of set theory and of advanced calculus and algebra, applied to fundamental economic problems. The material is arranged in the order of increasing mathematical difficulty.

NATIONAL INCOME AND RELATED AGGREGATES. Survey of the sources and methods involved in estimating the economic structure. National income, capital formation, balance of payments, and the components of the input-output analysis. Formulation of national economic programs. Aggregates are related to the data and methods of both business and government accounting. Attention is given to students' practical work.

PRICE THEORY. A systematic study of the pricing of final products and factors of production under essentially stationary conditions. Covers both perfect competition and such imperfectly competitive conditions as monopolistic competition, oligopoly, and monopoly.

WELFARE ECONOMICS. Description of conditions defining production and utility "possibilities." Implications of these conditions for appraising economic policies affecting resource allocation, income distribution, and the level of employment. Special applications are made in the appraisal of imperfect competition, various government fiscal policies, and alternative economic systems.

ALLOCATION OF RESOURCES IN PRODUCTION. Criteria for optimal resource allocation. Prices are introduced as marginal rates of substitution under efficient allocation of resources. The use of prices as guides to allocative decisions. Applications to a variety of production and pricing problems, including those of the transportation industry, and problems of industrial location.

CHOICE AND POSSIBILITIES IN ECONOMIC ORGANIZATION (with particular application to agriculture). Economic development. Economic fluctuations.

THE THEORY OF INCOME, EMPLOYMENT, AND PRICE LEVEL. Government policies and other factors determining the employment of resources, the national income and its use, and the levels of prices, wage rates, and interest rates. These problems are linked with the behavior of individual firms and households.

ECONOMICS OF UNCERTAINTY. Probabilistic vs. deterministic social science, normative and descriptive. Optimal strategies under complete and incomplete information. Applications to private and public policy; choice of assets (liquidity, inventories, diversification); versatility.

MONETARY ASPECTS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE. Foreign payments and receipts. Classical and modern theories of adjustment of the balance of payments. Theories of exchange rates. Capital movements in the balance of payments. Postwar monetary plans.

ECONOMIC ASPECTS OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS. Price theory and international trade; the gains from international specialization. International trade and the distribution of income. Historical and theoretical discussion of the theory of tariffs. Commercial policies of particular countries, including the United States, the United Kingdom, and France. Commodity agreements and cartels. The growth of state trading. The new mercantilism.

SEMINAR ON MODERN DEVELOPMENTS IN ECONOMIC THEORY. Discussion of selected topics from recent literature.

SEMINAR IN MONETARY DYNAMICS. The dynamic adjustment of the economy as a whole, with special emphasis on the role of the monetary and banking system. Student discussion of theoretical issues and empirical studies in this general field.

SCOPE AND METHOD OF THE SOCIAL SCIENCES. The first of this sequence of three courses is an introduction to statistical methods as used in the social sciences.

STATISTICAL INFERENCE (sequence of three courses). The first two courses survey the principles of statistical inference. Among the subjects treated are: elements of probability; concepts of population, sample, and sampling distribution; choice of estimates in the light of their sampling properties; testing hypotheses with reference to specific alternatives; principles of sampling and sample design; analysis of proportions, means, and standard deviations; simple, partial, and multiple regression and correlation. In the third course of the sequence students may carry out a statistical investigation; published statistical studies may be analyzed in detail; or some special field of application may be studied.

INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMETRICS. Some properties of vectors, matrices, systems of linear equations. Analysis of simple economic models.

STATISTICAL PROBLEMS OF MODEL CONSTRUCTION. Discussion of problems arising when inference processes are directed to a postulated structure underlying the probability distribution of observed variables. Problems of identification of structural characteristics in a given model, of estimation of identifiable parameters, of estimation bias arising from incorrectly specified models, and of testing the specifications that define a model. Examples are drawn from econometrics, factor analysis, latent attribute analysis, and from the study of errors of observation.

TIME SERIES. Stochastic difference equations, trends, moving averages, tests for randomness, correlograms, periodograms.

SAMPLE SURVEYS. Theory of sampling from finite populations and especially its application to human populations.

MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS. An introduction, including discussions of point estimation, set estimation, and the testing of hypotheses.

MARKOV PROCESSES. Three types of Markov process: discrete in space and time; discrete in space and continuous in time; continuous in both space and time. Use of certain of these processes as models in, e.g., genetics, evolution, diffusion, and communication.

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE AND REGRESSION. Algebra and geometry of vector spaces systematically applied to theory and application of subjects known variously as linear hypotheses, regression, analysis of variance, and least squares.

ESTIMATION AND TESTS OF HYPOTHESES. General methods, especially the theories of Neyman, Pearson, and Fisher.

SEQUENTIAL ANALYSIS. The sequential probability ratio test and its operating characteristics and average sample number functions; application to standard distributions; double dichotomies; sequential estimation; special problems.

STATISTICAL THEORY OF DECISION-MAKING. Critical review of modern

statistical viewpoints, emphasizing general ideas as opposed to techniques. Interpretations of probability; the probabilistic utility theory; critique of Bayes' theorem; methods proposed for avoiding Bayes' theorem, especially Wald's theory of minimum risk and the Neyman–Pearson theory; randomization; sufficient statistics and likelihood ratios; de Finetti's theory of personal probability.

THEORY OF MINIMUM RISK. Where practical, illustrations are drawn from standard statistical tests and estimates, but the treatment is for the most part on an abstract level. Existence theorems; general techniques of solution; simple dichotomies; asymptotic point estimation; symmetrical problems; sequential decisions.

MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS. The multivariate normal distribution. Related distributions such as the Wishart distribution and its noncentral analogue, and the distribution of the roots of determinantal equations. Hotelling's cannonical correlations. Associated tests and estimation functions and the problem of classification.

THE DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS. Design of experiments with special reference to the analysis of variance. Interaction and its exploitation in design, and the analysis of covariance. Numerical methods, analysis in the case of missing observations, and the effects of departure from the underlying assumptions of the analysis of variance are touched upon.

STATISTICS SEMINAR. Reports by staff members, students, and visitors.

APPENDIX III
COWLES COMMISSION PAPERS, NEW SERIES, 1943–1951

See complete LIST OF COWLES COMMISSION PAPERS

SPECIAL PAPERS

No. 1. JOHN R. MENKE, "Nuclear Fission as a Source of Power," Econometrica, Vol. 15, October, 1947, pp. 314–333.
No. 2. JACOB MARSCHAK, SAM H. SCHURR, and PHILIP SPORN, "The Economic Aspects of Atomic Power," Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 2, Nos. 5 and 6, September, 1946, pp. 1–4; Proceedings Supplement of American Economic Review, Vol. 37, No. 2, May, 1947, pp. 98–117.

APPENDIX IV
COWLES COMMISSION MONOGRAPHS, 1934–1951

See Complete LIST OF MONOGRAPHS (available for download)

SPECIAL PUBLICATION

Economic Aspects of Atomic Power, An Exploratory Study under the direction of SAM H. SCHURR AND JACOB MARSCHAK. Princeton: Princeton University Press. 1950. 289 pages. An analysis of the potential applicability of atomic power in selected industries and its economic effects in both industrialized and underdeveloped areas. Contents:

Preface.
PART ONE. ECONOMIC COMPARISONS OF ATOMIC AND CONVENTIONAL POWER: I. Economic Characteristics of Atomic Power; II. The Cost of Electricity from Conventional Energy Sources.
PART TWO. ATOMIC POWER IN SELECTED INDUSTRIES: III. The Industry Analyses: A Summary View; IV. Aluminum; V. Chlorine and Caustic Soda; VI. Phosphate Fertilizers; VII. Cement; VIII. Brick; IX. Flat Glass; X. Iron and Steel; XI. Railroad Transportation; XII. Residential Heating.
PART THREE. ATOMIC POWER AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: XIII. The Effects of Atomic Power on National or Regional Economies; XIV. Atomic Power and the Industrialization of Backward Areas. (Tables, Maps, Graphs, References, Index.)