DECENNIAL REPORT, 19321941
STAFF BIBLIOGRAPHY
| EDWARD N. CHAPMAN (19361941) |
"Suppose there IS a War," Barron's, Vol. 19, No.6,
Feb. 6, 1939, p. 7. |
"Markets Highly Selective in Wartime," Barron's, Vol.
19, No. 43, Oct. 23, 1939, p. 20. |
(With C.H. Boissevain) "Leucocyte Count and Recovery from
Tuberculosis," The American Review of Tuberculosis, Vol. 44, July 1941, pp.
5872. |
"Growth Stocks and the Investor," Barons, Vol.
21, October 6, 1941, pp. 34; October 13, p. 7; October 20, p. 18; October 27, p. 13;
November 3, p. 13; November 10, p. 8; November 17, p. 20; November 24, p. 13; December 1,
p. 13; December 8, p. 13; December 15, p. 13; December 22, p. 20; December 29, p. 20. |
ALFRED COWLES (1932 ) |
Common-Stock Indexes, Bloomington, Indiana, Principia Press,
1938; second edition, 1939. xii + 499 pp. |
"Can Stock Market Forecasters Forecast?" presented at
Cincinnati, December 31, 1932, before the Econometric Society and the American Statistical
Association (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 1, April 1933, pp. 21213);
published in Econometrica, Vol. 1, July, 1933, pp. 30924. |
"The Meeting of the Econometric Society in Cincinnati, Ohio,
December, 1932," Econometrica, Vol. 1, April 1933, pp. 20917. |
"The Meeting of the Econometric Society in Chicago, June,
1933," Econometrica, Vol. 1, October 1933, pp. 43144. |
"The Meetings of the Econometric Society in Philadelphia and
Boston, December, 1933," Econometrica, Vol. 2, April 1934, pp. 20420. |
(With Edward N. Chapman) "The Effect of Climate on Pulmonary
Tuberculosis: A Statistical Study," presented at Pittsburgh, Deco 28, 1934, before
Sections K and N of the American Association for the Advancement of Science; published as
"A Statistical Study of Climate in Relation to Pulmonary Tuberculosis," Journal
of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 30, September 1935, pp. 51756. |
"Practical Problems in the Methodology of Multiple Correlation
Analysis," presented at Colorado Springs, June 24, 1935, before the Econometric
Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 3, October 1935, p. 476). |
"Multiple Correlation Analysis of Intercorrelated Variates,"
presented at Colorado Springs. July 1935, before the Cowles Commission First Annual
Research Conference. |
"Effects of Building Activity and Other Factors on Security
Prices," presented at St. Louis, January 3, 1936, before the Econometric Society and
the American Association for the Advancement of Science (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 4, April 1936, pp. 19091). |
"Evidence of Structure in Common Stock Prices," presented at
Colorado Springs. August 7, 1936, before the Cowles Commission Second Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Abstracts, pp. 9799). |
(With Herbert E. Jones) "Some a Posteriori Probability
Considerations of Stock Market Action," presented at Chicago, December 29, 1936,
before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 5, April 1937, p.
190); published as "Some a Posteriori Probabilities in Stock Market Action," Econometrica,
Vol. 5, July 1937, pp. 28094. |
FORREST DANSON (1932 ) |
(With Herbert E. Jones) "Getting the Most in Tax Exempts," Barron's,
Vol. 19, No. 30, July 24, 1939, p. 3. |
HAROLD T. DAVIS (1932 ) |
Tables of the Higher Mathematical Functions, Vol. I,
Bloomington, Indiana, Principia Press, 1933. xiii + 377 pp. |
Tables of the Higher Mathematical Functions, Vol. II,
Bloomington, Indiana, Principia Press, 1935. xiii + 391 pp. |
A Course in General Mathematics, Bloomington, Indiana, Principia
Press, 1935. xi + 316 pp. |
(With W. F. C. Nelson) The Elements of Statistics, Bloomington,
Indiana, Principia Press, 1935. xi + 424 pp. Second edition, 1937. xii + 434 pp. |
The Theory of Linear Operators, Bloomington, Indiana, Principia
Press. 1936. xiv + 628 pp. |
College Algebra, New York, Prentice-Hall, 1940. xiii + 423 pp. |
The Theory of Econometrics, Bloomington, Indiana, Principia
Press, 1941. xiv + 482 pp. |
The Analysis of Economic Time Series, Bloomington, Indiana,
Principia Press, 1941. xiv + 620 pp. |
"New Technique in the Analysis of Trend Lines," presented at
Indianapolis, May 7, 1932, before the Indiana Section of the Mathematical Association of
America. |
"The Perturbation Problem for Economic Series," presented at
Syracuse, June, 1932, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 1, January, 1933, p. 100). |
"A Technique for the Study of the Interaction of Economic
Series," presented by title at Ames. November 26, 1932, before the American
Mathematical Society. |
"Harmonic Interaction of Economic Series," presented at
Atlantic City, December 26, 1932, before the Econometric Society and Section K of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science ( abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 1, April 1933, p. 205). |
"The Predictable Elements in Economic Series," presented at
Columbus, April 6, 1933, before the Ohio Section of the Mathematical Association of
America. |
"Contributions to the Theory of the Harmonic Analysis of Economic
Series," presented at Chicago, June 29, 1933, before the Econometric Society and
Section K of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 1, October 1933, pp. 43435). |
"Polynomial Approximations by the Method of Least Squares," Annals
of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 4, August 1933, pp. 15595. |
"Some Statistical Aspects of Random Series," presented at
Philadelphia. December 28, 1933, before the Econometric Society and the American
Statistical Association (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 2, April 1934, pp.
21314). |
"Properties of the Polygamma Function," presented at
Lafayette, May 12, 1934, before the Indiana Section of the Mathematical Association of
America. |
"Can Man's Group Activity Be Measured?" presented at
Indianapolis, November 30, 1934, before the Central Association of Science and Mathematics
Teachers. |
"How Periodic Elements Are Discovered in Statistical Series,"
presented at Indianapolis, November 30, 1934, before the Mathematics Section of the
Central Association of Science and Mathematics Teachers. |
"Statistical Proofs of Periodicity in Economic Series,"
presented at Pittsburgh. December 28, 1934, before the Econometric Society, the American
Mathematical Society, the Mathematical Association of America,and Sections A and K of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science. |
"An Extension to Polygamma Functions of a Theorem of Gauss," Bulletin
of the American Mathematical Society, Vol. 41, April 1935, pp. 24347. |
"Some Periodic Aspects of the Stock Market," presented at
Colorado Springs, June 24, 1935, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 3, October 1935, p. 474). |
"The Statistical Validity of Harmonic Analysis," presented at
Colorado Springs, July, 1935, before the Cowles Commission First Annual Research
Conference. |
"Report of the Meeting of the Econometric Society, Colorado
Springs, June 2224, 1935," Econometrica, Vol. 3, October 1935, pp.
47376. |
"Statistical Validity of the Forty-Month Cycle in Stock
Prices," presented at St. Louis, Jan. 2, 1936, before the Econometric Society and the
American Association for the Advancement of Science (abstract in Econometrica, Vol.
4, April 1936, pp. 18990). |
"Mathematics and Social Phenomena," presented at North
Manchester, May 1, 1936, before the Indiana Section of the Mathematical Association of
America. |
"Significance of Analysis of Variance of Time Series,"
presented at Colorado Springs, August 7, 1936, before the Cowles Commission Second Annual
Research Conference (abstract in Conference Abstracts, pp. 99102). |
"Significance Tests for Periodogram Analysis with Application to
Prices of Common Stocks," presented at Colorado Springs, August 8, 1936, before the
Cowles Commission Second Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Abstracts, pp.
10203). |
"The Application of Functionals in Economics," presented at
Denver, June 24, 1937, before the Econometric Society and Sections A and K of the American
Association for the Advancement of Science (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 5,
October 1937, p. 384). |
"The Econometric Problem," presented at Colorado Springs,
June 28, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual Research Conference (abstract in
Conference Report, pp. 1113). |
"The Fonctionelle Nature of Utility," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 16, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 7379). |
"Mathematical Adventures in Social Science," presented at
State College, Pennsylvania, September 7, 1937, before the Mathematical Association of
America; published in American Mathematical Monthly, Vol. 45, February 1938, pp.
93109. |
"The Pareto Distribution of Income," presented at Atlantic
City, December 28, 1937, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 6, April 1938, pp. 18485). |
(With Herbert E. Jones) "Some Results of the Theory of Random
Series," presented at Indianapolis, December 30, 1937, before the American
Mathematical Society and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
"The Centennial of Cournot's Theory of Riches," presented at
Indianapolis, December 30, 1937, before the History of Science Society and Section L of
the American Association for the Advancement of Science. |
"Table I, Values of J0(x) and J1(x) from
15.50 to 25.00," "Table II, Zeros of J0(x) and J1(x),"
in British Association Mathematical Tables, VI, Bessel Functions, Part I, Cambridge
University Press, 1937, pp. 162170, 17173. |
"The Place of Mathematics in the Modern World," presented at
Chicago, February 18, 1938, before a joint meeting of the Men's and Women's Mathematical
Clubs of Chicago. |
"Mathematical Adventures in Social Science," presented at
Pittsburgh, February 23, 1938, before the University of Pittsburgh Chapter of Sigma Xi. |
"Can Economic Phenomena be Measured?" presented at Bethlehem,
March 14, 1938, before the Lehigh University Chapter of Pi Mu Epsilon. |
"Cournot Pioneer in Scientific Economics," presented
at Colorado Springs, July 5, 1938, before the Cowles Commission Fourth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 1516). |
"The Significance of the Curve of Income," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 6, 1938, before the Cowles Commission Fourth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 1922). |
"Social Implications of the Pareto Distribution of Special
Abilities," presented at Richmond, December 28, 1938, before Section K of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science. |
"Some Lessons from the Equation of Exchange," presented at
Detroit, Dec. 30, 1938, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 7, April, 1939, pp. 18990). |
"Mathematical Economics," presented at the Armour Institute,
Chicago, January 12, 1939. |
"The Philosophy of Science," presented at Ames, April 21,
1939, before the Iowa Academy of Science; published in Proceedings of the Iowa Academy
of Science for 1939, Vol. 46, pp. 5869. |
"The Theory of Utility in Economics," presented at Iowa State
College, Ames. April 24, 1939. |
"The Theory of Economic Time Series," presented at Iowa State
College, Ames, April 24, 1939. |
"Random Numbers," presented at Galesburg, May 13, 1939,
before the Illinois Section of the Mathematical Association of America. |
"The Theory of Random Numbers," presented at Chicago, May 16,
1939, before the Mathematical Club of the University of Chicago. |
"The Postulate of Determinism in Economics," presented at
Evanston, May 20, 1939, before the Chaos Club. |
"Problems in the Theory of Business Cycles," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 3, 1939, before the Cowles Commission Fifth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 1316). |
"Relationships between the Distribution of Income and Total Real
Income," presented at Colorado Springs, July 24, 1939, before the Cowles Commission
Fifth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 7677). |
"The Money Factor in Trends of Trade," presented at Colorado
Springs, July 28, 1939, before the Cowles Commission Fifth Annual Research Conference
(abstract in Conference Report, pp. 9293). |
"Some Methods in the Analysis of Lag Effects," presented at
Philadelphia, December 27, 1939, before the American Statistical Association and the
Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
"The Mathematical Analysis of Social Patterns," presented at
Bloomington, May 10, 1940, before the Illinois Section of the Mathematical Association of
America (abstract in American Mathematical Monthly, Vol. 47, November 1940, p.
600). |
"Dynamics of the Business Cycle..' presented at Colorado Springs,
July 1, 1940, before the Cowles Commission Sixth Annual Research Conference (abstract in
Conference Report, pp. 1113). |
"The Economic Interpretation of History," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 26, 1940, before the Cowles Commission Sixth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 8991). |
"The Mathematical Interpretation of History," presented at
Cleveland, November 22, 1940, before the general section of the Central Association of
Science and Mathematics Teachers. |
"Mathematics and the Social Sciences," presented at
Cleveland, November 22, 1940, before the mathematics section of the Central Association of
Science and Mathematics Teachers. |
"The Place of Statistics in Science," presented at Evanston,
February 10, 1941, before the Northwestern University Chapter of Sigma Kappa Epsilon. |
"Functionals in the Theory of Economics," presented at Notre
Dame, February 28, 1941, before the Fifth Annual Mathematical Symposium of the University
of Notre Dame. |
"The History of Calculation," presented at Evanston. March
13, 1941, before the Physics Club of Northwestern University. |
"The Economic Theory of History," presented at Rockford,
April 9, 1941, before the Rockford Division of the Institute of Electrical Engineers. |
"The Mathematical Theory of History," presented at Chicago,
April 18, 1941, before the Mens Mathematics Club of Chicago. |
"Lucretius and His Message to the Modern World," presented at
Evanston, April 23, 1941, before the Eta Sigma Phi classical fraternity. |
"The Statistics of Time Series," in Mathematical
Monographs, edited by R.D. Curtiss, Northwestern University Studies. No. I in
Mathematics and Physics Series, October 1941, pp. 4785. |
"Mysteries of the Fourth Dimension," presented at Chicago,
December 3, 1941, before Carl Schurz Junior College. |
"The Theory of Runs in Random Data," presented at New York,
December 27, 1941, before the Econometric Society and the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics. |
JOEL DEAN (1939 ) |
The Management Council Profession, Indiana University
Publications, Social Science Series No. 2, 1940, Bloomington. 1940. 89 pp. |
Statistical Cost Functions of a Hosiery Mill, Studies in
Business Administration. The School of Business, The University of Chicago, Vol. II, No.
4, Chicago. 1941. 116 pp. |
The Relation of Cost to Output for a Leather Belt Shop, New
York, National Bureau of Economic Research. Technical Paper No. 2, 1941. 72 pp. |
"Statistical Cost Curves in Various Industries," presented at
Philadelphia, Dec. 29, 1939, before the American Economic Association and the Econometric
Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 8, April. 1940, pp. 18889). |
"Alternative Statistical Methods for Estimating Marginal Cost
Functions," presented at Colorado Springs, July 5. 1940, before the Cowles Commission
Sixth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 2426). |
"Indexes of Prices Farmers Pay," presented at Chicago,
December 27, 1940, before the American Statistical Association. |
"Statistical Cost-Curves and Price Policy," presented at
Notre Dame, March 1, 1941, before the Fifth Annual Mathematical Symposium of the
University of Notre Dame. |
(With Mary Hilton Wise) "An Appraisal of Index Numbers of Prices
Farmers Pay," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 36, June.
1941, pp. 21018. |
"The Role of Cost Functions in Price Administration,"
presented at New York, December 29, 1941, before the American Economic Association and the
Econometric Society. |
HERBERT E. JONES (1935 ) |
"The Economics of Overhead Costs with Application to
Pumping," presented at Colorado Springs, July 1935, before the Cowles Commission
First Annual Research Conference. |
"Meetings of the Econometric Society in New York City, December
1935, and St. Louis. January, 1936," Econometrica, Vol. 4, April 1936, pp.
18492. |
"The Nature of Regression Functions in the Correlation Analysis of
Time Series," presented in preliminary form at Colorado Springs, July 21, 1936,
before the Cowles Commission Second Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference
Report, pp. 4344), and in final form at Chicago. December 28, 1936, before the
American Statistical Association and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics; published
in Econometrica, Vol. 5, October 1937, pp. 30525. |
(With Alfred Cowles) "Some a Posteriori Probability Considerations
of Stock Market Action," presented at Chicago, December 29, 1936, before the
Econometric Society ( abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 5, April 1937, p. 190);
published as "Some a Posteriori Probabilities in Stock Market Action," Econometrica,
Vol. 5, July 1937, pp. 280294. |
"Some Geometrical Considerations in the General Theory of Fitting
Lines and Planes," Metron, Vol. 13, February 28, 1937, pp. 2130. |
"The Theory of Runs as Applied to Time Series," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 2, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 3336). |
(With Harold T. Davis) "Some Results of the Theory of Random
Series," presented at Indianapolis, December 30, 1937, before the American
Mathematical Society and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
(With Forrest Danson) "Getting the Most in Tax Exempts," Barron's,
Vol. 19, No. 30, July 24, 1939, p. 3. |
OSCAR LANGE (1939 ) |
"Saving in Process Analysis," Quarterly Journal of
Economics, Vol. 53, August 1939, pp. 620622. |
"Is the American Economy Contracting?" American Economic
Review, Vol. 29, September 1939, pp. 50313. |
"The Neo-Classical School in Economics," The Encyclopaedia
of Political Science (in Polish), Warsaw, 1939, Vol. IV, pp. 113. |
"Quantification: the Quest for Precision," round-table paper
given at the University of Chicago, December 1, 1939, reported in Eleven Twenty-Six: A
Decade of Social Science Research, Louis Wirth, editor, Chicago, The University of
Chicago Press, 1940, pp. 158162, 191193. |
"The Theory of Technological Unemployment," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 22, 1940, before the Cowles Commission Sixth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 6872). |
"Complementarity and Interrelations of Shifts in Demand," The
Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 8, October 1940, pp. 5863 |
"Economic Aspects," in Economic Mobilization,
Washington, American Council on Public Affairs, 1940, pp. 1228. |
"The Theory of Interest: A Synthetic Approach," presented at
Toronto, December 9, 1940, at the University of Toronto. |
"Price Flexibility, Interest, and Full Employment," presented
at New Orleans, December 28, 1940, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 9, April. 1941, pp. 17677). |
"The Theory of Technological Unemployment," presented at
Notre Dame, Feb. 28, 1941, before the Fifth Annual Mathematical Symposium of the
University of Notre Dame. |
"The Theory of Imperialism," presented at Madison, March
1941, before the University of Wisconsin. |
"Derivation of Elasticities of Demand and Supply: A Direct
Method," presented at Chicago, Sept. 4, 1941, before the Econometric Society and the
Institute of Mathematical Statistics (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 10, January
1942, pp. 9395). |
"The Foundation of Welfare Economics," presented at Chicago,
September 4, 1941, before the Sixth International Congress for the Unity of Science. |
"The Calculus of Elasticities and Its Application in Economic
Theory," presented at Chicago, October 17, 1941, before the Mathematical Biophysics
Seminar of the University of Chicago. |
"The Stability of Economic Equilibrium," presented at New
York, December 28, 1941, before the Econometric Society. |
DICKSON H. LEAVENS (1936 ) |
Silver Money, Bloomington, Indiana, Principia Press, 1939. xix +
439 pp. |
"The Accumulation of the Precious Metals in India and China,"
presented at Colorado Springs, July 15, 1936, before the Cowles Commission Second Annual
Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 3032). |
"Silver at the Second Session of the Seventy-fourth
Congress," Finance and Commerce, Shanghai, Vol. 28, July 29, 1936, pp. 12527. |
"The Silver Clause in China," American Economic Review,
Vol. 26, December 1936, pp. 65059. |
"Silver [Review of 1936]," Engineering and Mining Journal,
Vol. 138, February 1937, pp. 5556. |
"Report of the Chicago Meeting [of the Econometric Society],
December 2830, 1936," Econometrica, Vol. 5, April 1937, pp. 18497. |
"Drawings from Rectangular Distributions," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 2, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 3132). |
"Report of the Denver Meeting [of the Econometric Society], June
2426, 1937," Econometrica, Vol. 5, October 1937, pp. 384392. |
"Silver at the First Session of the Seventy-fifth Congress," Financial
News, Bombay, Vol. 5, No.42, October 23, 1937, p. 14; also published in Finance and
Commerce, Shanghai, Vol. 30, November 3, 1937, p. 345. |
"Five Years of American Silver Policy," presented at Atlantic
City, Dec. 27, 1937, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol.
6, April 1938, p. 183); published as "Five Years of Silver Subsidy," The
Annalist, Vol. 51, January 7, 1938, pp. 45. |
"Silver [Review of 1937]," Engineering and Mining Journal,
Vol. 139, February 1938, pp. 36, 37, 40. |
"Report of the Atlantic City and Indianapolis Meetings [of the
Econometric Society], December 2730, 1937," Econometrica, Vol. 6, April
1938, pp. 18092. |
"International Factors in the Postwar Silver Market,"
presented at Albuquerque, April 25, 1938, before the Southwestern Division, American
Association for the Advancement of Science. |
"A Bead-Sampling Machine for Use in the Class Room,"
presented at Detroit, December 28, 1938, before the American Statistical Association, and
the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
"Silver [Review of 1938]," Engineering and Mining Journal,
Vol. 140, February 1939, pp. 37, 38, 46. |
"Report of the Detroit Meeting [of the Econometric Society],
December 2730, 1938," Econometrica, Vol. 7, April 1939, pp. 16790. |
"Silver at the First Session of the Seventy-Sixth U. S.
Congress," Finance and Commerce, Shanghai, Vol. 34, September 13, 1939, pp.
22930; also published in abridged form in Financial News, Bombay, Vol. 7,
September 9, 1939, pp. 1718. |
(With John J. Croston) "Gold and Silver," chapter in The
Mineral Industry during 1938, New York, McGraw-Hill, 1939, pp. 189303. |
"Silver and the War: Supplies Ample; Recurrence of 19151919
Boom not Likely," The Annalist, Vol. 55, January 4, 1940; p. 7. |
"Report of the Philadelphia Meeting [of the Econometric Society],
December 2729, 1939," Econometrica, Vol. 8, April 1940, pp. 17692. |
(With William J. Hail) "Planetary Groupings Recorded in
China," Popular Astronomy, Vol. 48, June 1940, pp. 29295. |
(With John J. Croston) "Gold and Silver," chapter in The
Mineral Industry during 1939, New York, McGraw-Hill, 1940, pp. 191286. |
"Rupee Circulation in India," The American Economic Review,
Vol. 31, March 1941, pp. 8790. |
"Report of the Chicago and New Orleans Meetings [of the
Econometric Society], December 2730, 1940," Econometrica, Vol. 9, April
1941, pp. 165184. |
"Debates on Silver in the American Congress," Finance
& Commerce, Shanghai, Vol. 37, May 14, 1941, pp. 48889; also published in
abridged form in Financial News, Bombay, Vol. 9, No. 10, March 8, 1941, p. 7. |
(With John J. Croston) "Gold and Silver," chapter in The
Mineral Industry during 1940. New York, McGraw-Hill, 1941, pp. 21591. |
(With Theodore O. Yntema) "An Appraisal of the 1940 [Census]
Sampling Scheme," presented at New York, December 29, 1941, before the American
Statistical Association and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
H. GREGG LEWIS (1939 ) |
An Analysis of Changes in the Demand for Steel and in Steel Prices
19361939. New York, United States Steel Corporation, 1939. 61 pp. |
A Statistical Analysis of the Demand for Steel, 19191938,
New York, United States Steel Corporation, 1939. 52 pp. |
The above two pamphlets were included in United States Steel
Corporation T.N.E.C. Papers, 1940, pp. 771 and pp. 165221; and were reprinted
in Hearings Before the Temporary National Economic Committee, Part 26, Washington, 1940,
as Exhibit No. 1412, pp. 1394281, Exhibit No.1411, pp. 1391342. |
(With Paul H. Douglas) "Some Problems in the Measurement of Income
Elasticities," Econometrica, Vol. 7, July 1939, pp. 20820. |
"The Demand for Steel," presented at Colorado Springs, July
2, 1940, before the Cowles Commission Sixth Annual Research Conference (abstract in
Conference Report, pp. 1518). |
"The Nature of the Demand for Steel," presented at Chicago,
December 27, 1940, before the American Statistical Association and the Econometric Society
(abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 9, April 1941, p. 165); published in Journal of
the American Statistical Association, Vol. 36, March, 1941, pp. 11015. |
"The Outlook," in Economic Mobilization, Washington,
American Council on Public Affairs, 1940, pp. 3743. |
"On the Probability Distribution of the Partial-Elasticity
Coefficient," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 36,
September 1941, pp. 41316. |
FRANCIS McINTYRE (19371940) |
"Monopolistic Elements in Pricing: The Domestic-Export
Spread," presented at Colorado Springs, July 7, 1937, before the Cowles Commission
Third Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 4546). |
.'The Cowles Commission Stock Indexes, 18711937," presented
at Boulder, November 26, 1937, before the ColoradoWyoming Social Science
Association. |
"Price Discrimination between Two Markets under Imperfect
Competition and Monopoly," presented at Atlantic City, December 27, 1937, before the
Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 6, April 1938, pp.
18081). |
"International Aspects of the Copper Industry," presented at
Albuquerque, Apr. 25, 1938, before the Southwestern Division, American Association for the
Advancement of Science. |
"Factors Determining Domestic and Foreign Copper
Consumption," presented at Colorado Springs, July 8, 1938, before the Cowles
Commission Fourth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp.
2930). |
"The Problem of the Stock Price Index Number," Journal of
the American Statistical Association, Vol. 33, September 1938, pp. 55763. |
"The Nature and Achievements of Foundations for Economic Research
in the United States," presented at Stanford University, October 20, 1938. |
"The Effect of the Undistributed Profits Tax upon the Distribution
of Corporate Earnings A Statistical Appraisal," presented at Detroit, December
28, 1938, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 7, April,
1939, pp. 17677); published in Econometrica, Vol. 7, October, 1939, pp.
33648. |
"The Adaptation of Index-Number Construction to Punched-Card
Equipment," presented at Colorado Springs, July 13, 1939, before the Cowles
Commission Fifth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp.
4345) . |
"Durable Goods and the Business Cycle," presented at Colorado
Springs, July 17, 1939, before the Cowles Commission Fifth Annual Research Conference
(abstract in Conference Report, pp. 5254). |
"Corporate Earnings in Durable Goods Industries in Prosperity and
Depression," presented at Philadelphia, December 28, 1939, before the American
Statistical Association. |
"Some Uses of Iso-Outlay Curves in Economic Analysis,"
presented at Colorado Springs, July 19, 1940, before the Cowles Commission Sixth Annual
Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 6466). |
"The Effect of the Undistributed Profits Tax: A Reply," Econometrica,
Vol. 8, October 1940, pp. 35760. |
"The Dilemma of the Conservative," presented at Cleveland,
November 22, 1940, before the Cleveland Chapter of the American Statistical Association. |
"Wholesale Price Indexes," presented at Chicago, Dec. 27,
1940, before the American Statistical Association (published in Journal of the American
Statistical Association, Vol. 36, June 1941, pp. 18590). |
HORST MENDERSHAUSEN (19381939) |
"On the Significance of Professor Douglas' Production
Function," Econometrica, Vol. 6, April 1938, pp. 14353. |
"The Definition of 'Equal Well-Being' in Frisch's
Double-Expenditure Method," Econometrica, Vol. 6, July 1938, pp. 28586. |
"Clearing Variates' in Confluence Analysis," presented
at Colorado Springs, July 7, 1938, before the Cowles Commission Fourth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 2426) ; published in Journal of
the American Statistical Association, Vol. 34, March 1939, pp. 93105. |
"The Relationship between Income and Savings of American
Metropolitan Families," presented at Detroit, December 29, 1938, before the
Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 7, April 1939, pp.
18081); published in American Economic Review, Vol. 29, September 1939, pp.
52137. |
"Differences in Consumers' Savings between American Communities of
Different Size and Location," presented at Milwaukee, June 19, 1939, before Section K
of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. |
"On the Measurement of the Degree of Inequality of Income
Distributions," presented at Colorado Springs, July 19, 1939, before the Cowles
Commission Fifth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp.
6365). |
"On the Significance of Professor Douglas. Production Function: A
Correction," Econometrica, Vol. 7, October 1939, p. 362. |
"Eliminating Changing Seasonals by Multiple Regression
Analysis," Review of Economic Statistics, Vol. 21, November 1939, pp.
17177. |
"Changing Methods of Diverting the National Income to War
Purposes," presented at Philadelphia, December 28. 1939, before the Econometric
Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 8. April 1940, pp. 17980). |
JACOB L. MOSAK (1939 ) |
An Analysis of the Demand for Steel in the Automobile Industry.
New York, United States Steel Corporation, 1939. 28 pp. Included in United States Steel
Corporation T.N.E.C. Papers, 1940, pp. 73103, and reprinted in Hearings before
the Temporary National Economic Committee, Part 26, Washington, 1940, as Exhibit No. 1413,
pp. 1398198. |
General Equilibrium Theory in International Trade, thesis
presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of
Philosophy at the University of Chicago, 1941 ( typed). |
"The Least-Squares Standard Error of the Coefficient of Elasticity
of Demand," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 34, June
1939, pp. 35361. |
"Some Theoretical Implications of the Statistical Analysis of
Demand and Cost Functions for Steel," presented at Chicago, December 27, 1940, before
the American Statistical Association and the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 9, April 1941, p. 167); published in Journal of the American Statistical
Association, Vol. 36, March 1941, pp. 10009. |
"The General-Equilibrium Theory of International Trade,"
presented at Chicago, December 28, 1940, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 9, April 1941, p. 171). |
"Wage Increases and Unemployment," American Economic
Review, Vol. 31, June 1941, pp. 33032. |
"On the Workings of a General Equilibrium System," presented
at Chicago, September 4, 1941, before the Econometric Society and the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 10, January 1942, pp. 93). |
WILLIAM F.C. NELSON (19321936) |
(With Harold T. Davis) The Elements of Statistics. Bloomington,
Indiana, Principia Press, 1935. xi + 424 pp. Second edition. 1937. xii + 434 pp. |
"A New Index of Investment Experience in American Industrial and
Public Utility Common Stocks, 18721906," presented at Berkeley, June 22, 1934,
before the Econometric Society, the American Statistical Association, and Section K of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science (abstract in Econometrica, Vol.
2, October 1934, pp. 444). |
"Painting and Prices," presented at Colorado Springs, June
24, 1935, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vo1. 3, October
1935, pp. 47576). |
CHARLES F. ROOS (19341937) |
Dynamic Economics, Bloomington, Indiana, Principia Press. 1934.
xvi + 275 pp. |
NRA Economic Planning. Bloomington, Indiana, Principia Press,
1937. xxii + 596 pp. |
"Economic Theory of the Shorter Work Week," presented at
Pittsburgh, December 28, 1934, before the Econometric Society; published in Econometrica,
Vol. 3, January 1935, pp. 2139. |
"What Do Time-Series Correlation Coefficients Show?"
presented at Pittsburgh, Dec. 28, 1934, before the Econometric Society, the American
Mathematical Society, the Mathematical Association of America, and Sections A and K of the
American Association for the Advancement of Science. |
"Labor vs. Machine Cost: Some Theoretical and Statistical Studies
of Replacement of Men by Machines," presented at Pittsburgh, December 29, 1934,
before the Econometric Society and Sections K and M of the American Association for the
Advancement of Science. |
"Cost Experiments of the NRA," presented at Colorado Springs,
June 24, 1935, before the Econometric Society. |
"Meetings of the Econometric Society in Chicago and Pittsburgh,
December, 1934," Econometrica, Vol. 3, July 1935, pp. 34552. |
"Lag Analysis with Special Reference to the Building
Industry," presented at Colorado Springs, July, 1935, before the Cowles Commission
First Annual Research Conference. |
"Annual Survey of Statistical Information: Capital Formation and
the Flow of National Income in the United States," Econometrica, Vol. 3,
October 1935, pp. 36675. |
"Effects of Credit, Building Costs, and Rent on Building
Activity," presented at St. Louis. January 3, 1936, before the Econometric Society
(abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 4, April 1936, p. 191). |
"Some Economic Effects of Wage Regulation on Interstate
Trade," presented at Colorado Springs, July 25, 1936, before the Cowles Commission
Second Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Abstracts. pp. 6062). |
"A General Invariant Criterion of Fit for Lines, Planes, and
Functions Expandable in Series, Where All Variates Are Subject to Error," presented
in preliminary form at Colorado Springs, August 5, 1936, before the Cowles Commission
Second Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Abstracts, pp. 9395), and
in final form at Chicago. December 28, 1936, before the American Statistical Association
and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics; published as "A General Invariant
Criterion of Fit for Lines and Planes Where All Variables Are Subject to Error," Metron,
Vol. 13, 1937, pp. 320. |
"Annual Survey of Statistical Techniques: The Correlation and
Analysis of Time Series-Part II," Econometrica, Vol. 4, October 1936, pp.
36881. |
"New Indexes of Stock Prices and Yields and Their Relation to the
Theories of Capital and Savings," presented at Chicago, December 28, 1936, before the
Econometric Society, the American Statistical Association, and the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 5, April 1937, pp.
18485). |
"Measuring Economic Impacts," presented at Denver, June 25,
1937, before the Econometric Society, Section K of the American Association for the
Advancement of Science, the American Sociological Society, and the Sociological Research
Association (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 5, October 1937, pp. 38889). |
"The Relation of Stock Prices to Earnings and Other Factors,"
presented at Colorado Springs, June 29, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual
Research Conference, abstract in Conference Report, pp. 1719). |
"The Dynamics of the Security Market." presented at Colorado
Springs, July 1, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual Research Conference
(abstract in Conference Report, pp. 2631). |
"Dynamics of the Security Markets," presented at Atlantic
City, December 28, 1937, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 6, April 1938, pp. 18586). |
(With Victor S. von Szeliski) "Economic Balance and Its Relation
to Production and Pricing Problems," presented at Atlantic City, December 29, 1937,
before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 6, April 1938, pp.
18990). |
JOHN H. SMITH (1940 ) |
Statistical Deflation in the Analysis of Economic Series, thesis
presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of
Philosophy at the University of Chicago, privately printed, Chicago, 1941. vi + 123 pp. |
Added Column Method for Computing Multiple Correlation Constants.
The University of Chicago Bookstore, 1941. 33 pp. |
"The Use of Weighted Regressions in the Analysis of Economic
Series," presented at Colorado Springs, July 16, 1940, before the Cowles Commission
Sixth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 5355). |
"Curve Fitting by Cumulative Addition," presented at Chicago,
September 3, 1941, before the Econometric Society and the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 10, January 1942, pp. 9192). |
"Confidence Intervals for the Unknown Median of Any Type of
Universe," presented at New York, December 27, 1941, before the Econometric Society
and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
GERHARD TINTNER (19361937) |
"A Note on Distribution of Income over Time," Econometrica,
Vol. 4, January 1936, pp. 6066. |
"Internationale Konjunkturforschung," Der Oesterreichische
Volkswirt, Vol. 28, July 4, 1936, pp. 78384. |
"Expectations and the Statistical Theory of Errors,"
presented at Chicago, December 29, 1936, before the Econometric Society (abstract in Econometrica,
Vol. 5, April 1937, pp. 18990). |
"Monopoly over Time," Econometrica, Vol. 5, April
1937, pp. 16070. |
"The Economic Meaning of Functionals," presented at Denver,
June 24, 1937, before the Econometric Society and Sections A and K of the American
Association for the Advancement of Science ( abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 5,
October 1937, p. 385). |
"The Maximization of Utility over Time," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 21, 1937, before the Cowles Commission Third Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 9193); published in Econometrica,
Vol. 6, April 1938, pp. 15458. |
"A Dynamic Theory of Duopoly: A Problem in Econometrics,"
presented at Iowa City, November 26, 1937, before the American Mathematical Society
(abstract in Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, Vol. 44, January 1938,
p. 29). |
"The Definition and Dynamic Significance of Randomness in Time
Series," presented at Atlantic City, December 27, 1937, before the Econometric
Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 6, April 1938, p. 181). |
ABRAHAM WALD (19381939) |
"The Approximative Determination of Indifference Surfaces by Means
of Engel Curves." presented at Colorado Springs, July 12, 1938, before the Cowles
Commission Fourth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp.
3941); published in Econometrica, Vol. 8, April 1940, pp. 14475. |
"Generalization of the Inequality of Markoff," Annals of
Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 9, December 1938, pp. 24455. |
"A Contribution to the Theory of Statistical Estimation,"
presented at Detroit, December 27, 1938, before the Institute of Mathematical Statistics
(abstract in Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 10, March 1939, pp.
8687). |
"Criteria for a Constant Preference Scale Expressed in Terms of
Engel Curves," presented at Detroit, December 29, 1938, before the Econometric
Society (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 7, April 1939, pp. 17980). |
"Lower and Upper Limits of a Distribution Function Determined by
Moments and Inequalities Satisfied by Moments," presented at New York, February 25,
1939, before the American Mathematical Society (abstract in Bulletin of the American
Mathematical Society, Vol. 45, March 1939, p. 238). |
(With J. Wolfowitz) "Confidence Limits for Continuous Distribution
Functions." presented at New York, Feb. 25, 1939, before the American Mathematical
Society (abstract in Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society, Vol. 45, March
1939, pp. 23233); published in Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 10,
June 1939, pp. 10518. |
"Long Cycles as a Result of Repeated Integration," American
Mathematical Monthly, Vol. 46, March 1939, pp. 13641. |
"The Fitting of Straight Lines if Both Variables Are Subject to
Error," presented at Colorado Springs, July 6, 1939, before the Cowles Commission
Fifth Annual Research Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 2528);
published in Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 11, September 1940, pp.
284300. |
"Limits of a Distribution Function Determined by Absolute
Moments," Transactions of the American Mathematical Association, Vol. 46,
September 1939, pp. 280306. |
"A New Formula for the Index of Cost of Living," Econometrica,
Vol. 7, October 1939, pp. 31931. |
"Contributions to the Theory of Statistical Estimation and Testing
Hypotheses," Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 10, December 1939, pp.
299326. |
"A Note on the Analysis of Variance with Unequal Class
Frequencies," presented by title at Philadelphia, December 27, 1939, before the
Institute of Mathematical Statistics (abstract in Annals of Mathematical Statistics,
Vol. 11, March 1940, pp. 11415); published in Annals of Mathematical Statistics,
Vol. 11, March 1940, pp. 96100. |
(With J. Wolfowitz) "On a Test whether Two Samples Are from the
Same Population," presented at Philadelphia, December 27, 1939, before the Institute
of Mathematical Statistics (abstract in Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 11,
March 1940, p. 112); published in Annals of Mathematical Statistics, Vol. 11, June,
1940, pp. 14762. |
THEODORE O. YNTEMA (1939 ) |
Professor Yntema planned and directed the research leading to the
following papers published first in pamphlet form in 1939 and then collected in United
States Steel Corporation T.N.E.C. Papers, 1940, Vol. 1, 411 pp. They were also
reprinted as exhibits in Hearings before the Temporary National Economic Committee,
Congress of the United States, Seventy-sixth Congress, Third Session, Pursuant to Public
Resolution No. 113 (Seventy-fifth Congress). Part 26. Iron and Steel Industry, United
States Steel Corporation Studies, Prices and Costs. January 23, 24, and 25, 1940.
Washington, Government Printing Office, 1940, pp. 1358514128. T.N.E.C. Exhibit
numbers and pages in the Hearings are given in parentheses. |
No.1. "An Analysis of Changes in the Demand for Steel and in Steel
Prices, 19361939," pp. 771 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No.1412, pp. 1394281). |
No.2 "An Analysis of the Demand for Steel in the Automobile
Industry," pp. 73103 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 1413, pp. 1398198). |
No.3. "An Analysis of the Demand for Steel in the Railroad
Industry, " pp. 10535 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 1414, pp. 1399914016). |
No.4. "An Analysis of the Demand for Steel in the Container
Industry," pp. 13764 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 1415, pp. 1401632). |
No.5. "A Statistical Analysis of the Demand for Steel,
19191938," pp. 165221 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 1411, pp. 1391342). |
No.6. "An Analysis of Steel Prices, Volume and Costs Controlling
Limitations on Price Reductions," pp. 223302 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 1416, pp.
1403282). |
No.7. "An Analysis of Steel Prices, Volume and Costs Controlling
Limitations on Price Reductions Summary," pp. 30323 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit
No. 1417, pp. 1408294). |
No.8. "The Distribution of Steel to Major Consuming
Industries," pp. 32536 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 2180, pp. 14095101). |
No.9. "Indexes of Mill-Net Yields on Products Shipped by United
States Steel Corporation Subsidiaries," pp. 33754 (T.N.E.C. Exhibit No. 2181,
pp. 1410109). |
"Competitive Norms in Durable-Goods Industries," presented at
Colorado Springs, July 10, 1939, before the Cowles Commission Fifth Annual Research
Conference (abstract in Conference Report, pp. 3234). |
"Quantification: the Quest for Precision," round-table paper
given at the University of Chicago, December 1, 1939, reported in Eleven Twenty-Six: A
Decade of Social Science Research, Louis Wirth, editor, Chicago, The University of
Chicago Press, 1940, pp. 17072, 182. |
"Organization for National Defense," presented at Colorado
Springs. July 2, 1940, before the Cowles Commission Sixth Annual Research Conference. |
"Some Economic Problems in the Expansion of Capacity to Produce
Military Goods," presented at New Orleans, December 30, 1940, before the American
Economic Association, published in American Economic Review, Vol. 30, February
1941, pp. 37378. |
"Emergency Price Control," presented at Chicago, June 6,1941,
before the University of Chicago Law School Conference on Public Law (printed in Report
of the Conference, 1941, pp. 1931). |
"Competition as a Norm of Economic Behavior," The Journal
of Business, Vol. 14, July 1941, pp. 27083. |
"Weights to Compensate for Transformation in Curve Fitting,"
presented at Chicago, September 3, 1941, before the Econometric Society and the Institute
of Mathematical Statistics (abstract in Econometrica, Vol. 10, January 1942, p.
91). |
"Relation of Price Control to Fiscal Policy," in Price
Problems in a Defense Economy, New York, National Bureau of Economic Research,
privately printed. 1941, pp. 11520. |
"The Future Role of Large-Scale Enterprise," presented at
Chicago, September 23, 1941, in connection with the celebration of the Fiftieth
Anniversary of the University of Chicago; published in The Journal of Political Economy,
Vol. 49, December 1941, pp. 83348. |
"Major Factors Having Current Bearing on Wage Determination,"
presented at Chicago, October 17, 1941, before the Eighth Annual Midwest Conference on
Industrial Relations. |
"The Impact of the Defense Program on Business," presented at
Chicago, December 4, 1941, before the Citizens Board of Sponsors of the University of
Chicago. |
(With Dickson H. Leavens) "An Appraisal of the 1940 [Census]
Sampling Scheme," presented at New York, December 29, 1941, before the American
Statistical Association and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. |
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