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Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics

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PAPERS (REPRINTS), 1996

No. Author(s) Title, Where published
CFP 907 Andrews, Donald W.K.
McDermott, John
"Nonlinear Econometric Models with Deterministically Trending Variables." Review of Economic Studies (1995), 62: 343-360 [CFDP 1053, 25pp]
CFP 908 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Bayesian Prediction: A Response." Journal of Econometrics (1995), 69: 351-365
CFP 909 Shiller, Robert J. "Conversation, Information, and Herd Behavior." Rhetoric and Economic Behavior (May 1995), 85(2): 181-185 [CFDP 1092, 15pp, abstract]
CFP 910 Linton, Oliver "Adaptive Estimation in ARCH Models." Econometric Theory (1993), 9: 539-569 [CFDP 1054, 56pp]
CFP 911 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Bayesian Model Selection and Prediction with Empirical Applications." Journal of Econometrics (1995), 69: 289-331 [CFDP 1023, 31pp, abstract]
CFP 912 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Robust Nonstationary Regression." Econometric Theory (1995), 11: 912-951 [CFDP 1064, 49pp, abstract]
CFP 913 Kitamura, Yuichi
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"Efficient IV Estimation in Nonstationary Regression." Econometric Theory (1995), 11: 1095-1130
CFP 914 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Trending Multiple Time Series." Econometric Theory (1995), 11: 811-817
CFP 915 Linton, Oliver "Second Order Approximation in the Partially Linear Regression Model." Econometrica (September 1995), 63(5): 1079-1112 [CFDP 1065, 47pp, abstract]
CFP 916 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Ploberger, Werner
"Admissibility of the Likelihood Ratio Test When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only Under the Alternative." Annals of Statistics (1995), 23(5): 1609-1629 [CFDP 1058, 32pp, abstract]
CFP 917 Phillips, Peter C.B.
Ploberger, Werner
"An Asymptotic Theory of Bayesian Inference for Time Series." Econometrica (March 1996), 64(2): 381-412
CFP 918 Linton, Oliver
Nielsen, Jens Perch
"A Kernel Method of Estimating Structured Nonparametric Regression Based on Marginal Integration." Biometrika (1995), 82(1): 93-100
CFP 919 Chang, Yoosoon
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"Time Series Regression with Mixtures of Integrated Processes." Econometric Theory (1995), 11: 1033-1094
CFP 920 Nordhaus, William D. "Locational Competition and the Environment: Should Countries Harmonize Their Environmental Policies." In Horst Siebert, ed., Locational Competition in the World Economy: Symposium 1994, J.C.B. Mohr, 1995, pp. 261-287 [CFDP 1079, 36pp, abstract]
CFP 921 Phillips, Peter C.B.
McFarland, James W.
McMahon, Patrick C.
"Robust Tests of Forward Exchange Market Efficiency with Empirical Evidence from the 1920s." Journal of Applied Econometrics (1996), 11: 1-22 [CFDP 1080, 32pp, abstract]
CFP 922 Shiller, Robert J.
Kon-Ya, Fumiko
Tsutsui, Yoshiro
"Why Did the Nikkei Crash? Expanding the Scope of Expectations Data Collection." Review of Economics and Statistics (1996) 78(1): 156-164 [CFDP 1012, 45pp, abstract]
CFP 923 Andrews, Donald W.K. "Admissibility of the Likelihood Ratio Test When the Parameter Space is Restricted Under the Alternative." Econometrica (May 1996), 64(3): 705-718
CFP 924 Hajivassiliou, Vassilis A.
McFadden, Daniel
Ruud, Paul A.
"Simulation of Multivariate Normal Rectangle Probabilities and Their Derivatives: Theoretical and Computational Results." Journal of Econometrics (1996), 72: 85-134 [CFDP 1021R, 43pp, abstract]
CFP 925 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Lee, Inpyo
Ploberger, Werner
"Optimal Changepoint Tests for Normal Linear Regressions." Journal of Econometrics (1996), 70: 9-38 [CFDP 1016, 32pp, abstract]
CFP 926 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Econometric Model Determination." Econometrica (July 1996), 64(4): 763-812 [CFDP 1083, 90pp, abstract]
CFP 927 Fair, Ray C. "Econometrics and Presidential Elections." Journal of Economic Perspectives (Summer 1996), 10(3): 89-102
CFP 928 Brandenburger, Adam
Polak, Ben
"When Managers Cover Their Posteriors: Making the Decision the Market Wants to See." Rand Journal of Economics (Autumn 1996), 27(3): 523-541
CFP 929 Shubik, Martin "Why Equilibrium? A Note on the Noncooperative Equilibria of Some Matrix Games." Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (1996), 29: 537-539
CFP 930 Nordhaus, William D.
Yang, Zilli
"A Regional Dynamic General-Equilibrium Model of Alternative Climate-Change Strategies." American Economic Review (September 1996), 86(4): 741-765
CFP 931 Fair, Ray C. "Computing Median Unbiased Estimates in Microeconometric Models." Journal of Applied Econometrics (1996), 11: 431-435

PAPERS (REPRINTS), 1997

No. Author(s) Title, Where published
CFP 932 Klevorick, Alvin K. "The Fractured Unity of Antitrust Law and the Antitrust Jurisprudence of Justice Stevens." Rutgers Law Journal (1996), 27(3): 637-661
CFP 933 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Ploberger, Werner
"Testing for Serial Correlation Against an ARMA (1,1) Process." Journal of the American Statistical Association (September 1996), 91(435): 1331-1342 [CFDP 1077, 29pp, abstract]
CFP 934 Fair, Ray C. "The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1992 Update." Political Behavior (1996), 18(2): 119-139 [CFDP 1084, 21pp, abstract]
CFP 935 Klevorick, Alvin K. "The Race to the Bottom in a Federal System: Lessons from the World of Trade Policy." Yale Law and Policy Review/Yale Journal of Regulation Symposium: Constructing a New Federalism (1996), 177
CFP 936 Phillips, Peter C.B.
Lee, Chin Chin
"Efficiency Gains from Quasi-Differencing Under Nonstationarity." In P.M. Robinson and M. Rosenblatt, eds., Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series, Vol. II, Springer, 1996. pp. 300-314 [CFDP 1134, 14pp, abstract]
CFP 937 Tobin, James "The Natural Rate as New Classical Macroeconomics." In Rod Cross, ed., The Natural Rate of Unemployment: Reflections on 25 Years of the Hypothesis, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1995, pp. 32-42 [CFDP 1061, 18pp, abstract]
CFP 938 Fair, Ray C. "Computational Methods for Macroeconometric Models 1997." Chapter 3 in H.M. Amman, D.A. Kendrick and J. Rust, eds., Handbook of Computational Economics, Vol. 1, Elsevier, 1996, pp. 144-169
CFP 939 Tobin, James "A Currency Transactions Tax, Why and How." Open Economies Review (1996), 7: 493-499
CFP 940 Fair, Ray C.
Howrey, E. Philip
"Evaluating Alternative Monetary Policy Rules." Journal of Monetary Economics (1996), 38: 173-193 [CFDP 1091, 21pp, abstract]
CFP 941 Nordhaus, William D.
Popp, David
"What Is the Value of Scientific Knowledge? An Application to Global Warming Using the PRICE Model." The Energy Journal (1997), 18(1): 1-45 [CFDP 1117, 49pp, abstract]
CFP 942 Jayawardene, A.K.
Shubik, Martin
"Trade with Assignats or Landbank Money: Equilibria in a Finite-Person Strategic Market Game." Journal of Mathematical Economics (1997), 27: 143-162
CFP 943 Chao, John
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"An Empirical Bayesian Approach to Cointegrating Rank Selection and Test of the Present Value Model for Stock Prices." In Jack C. Lee, Wesley O. Johnson and Arnold Zellner, eds., Modelling and Prediction, Springer, New York, 1996, pp. 325-349
CFP 944 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Unit-Root Tests." In Samuel Kotz, ed., Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Update Vol. 1, 1997, pp. 531-542 [CFDP 1104, 25pp, abstract]
CFP 945 Andrews, Donald W.K. "A Stopping Rule for the Computation of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators." Econometrica (July 1997), 65(4): 913-931 [CFDP 1120, 29pp, abstract]
CFP 946 Shiller, Robert J. "Public Resistance to Indexation: A Puzzle." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1997), 1: 159-228
CFP 947 Tobin, James "An Overview of The General Theory." In G.C. Harcourt and P.A. Riach, eds., A "Second Edition" of The General Theory, Vol. 2, Routledge, 1997, pp. 3-27 [CFDP 1093, 40pp, abstract]
CFP 948 Blood, Deborah J.
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"Economic Headline News on the Agenda: New Approaches to Understanding Causes and Effects." In M. McCombs, D.L. Shaw and D. Weaver, eds., Communication and Democracy, Lawrence Erlbaum Assoc., 1997, pp. 97-113
CFP 949 Andrews, Donald W.K. "A Conditional Kolmogorov Test." Econometrica (September 1997), 65(5): 1097-1128 [CFDP 1111R, 44pp, abstract]
CFP 950 Tobin, James "Comments by Professor James Tobin." Journal of Applied Econometrics (1997), 12: 647-650
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