THE ANALYSIS OF
ECONOMIC TIME SERIES
by
HAROLD T. DAVIS
The Principia Press, Inc.
1941
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Preface
[
Preliminary pages
]
Chapter
Page
1
History of the Problem
1
2
The Technique of Harmonic Analysis
60
3
Serial Correlation Analysis
102
4
The Theory of Random Series
142
5
The Degrees of Freedom in Economic Time Series
175
6
The Analysis of Trends
208
7
Periodogram Analysis
276
8
The Evidence and Explanation of Cycles
327
9
The Nature of Wealth and Income
386
10
The Dynamics of Trends from the Point of View of the Equation of Exchange
444
11
Forecasting Economic Time Series
499
12
Interpretation and Critique
546
TABLES
Table 1. Values of the Walker Probability Function,
P
W
583
Table 2. Values of the Fisher Probability Function,
P
F
601
INDEXES
Index of Names
609
Index of Subjects
613