DISCUSSION PAPERS, 2011 (Nos. 1776–1840)

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No. Author(s) Title
CFDP 1776 Fair, Ray C. "A World Macro Saving Fact and an Explanation" (January 2011, Revised June 2011) [28pp, abstract]
CFDP 1777 Phillips, Peter C.B.
Magdalinos, Tassos
"Inconsistent VAR Regression with Common Explosive Roots" (January 2011) [32pp, abstract]
CFDP 1778 Wang, Xiaohu
Phillips, Peter C.B.
Yu, Jun
"Bias in Estimating Multivariate and Univariate Diffusions" (January 2011) [37pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Econometrics (2011), 161(2): 228-245 [CFP 1343]
CFDP 1779 Wang, Qiying
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"Specification Testing for Nonlinear Cointegrating Regression" (January 2011, Revised February 2011) [66pp, abstract] Reprinted as "A Specification Test for Nonlinear Nonstationary Models," The Annals of Statistics (2012), 40(2): 2, 727–758 [CFP 1359]
CFDP 1780 Han, Chirok
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"First Difference MLE and Dynamic Panel Estimation" (January 2011) [32pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Econometrics (July 2013), 175(1): 35-45 [CFP 1379]
CFDP 1781 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Folklore Theorems, Implicit Maps and New Unit Root Limit Theory" (January 2011) [42pp, abstract] Reprinted as "Folklore Theorems, Implicit Maps, and Indirect Inference," Econometrica (January 2012), 80(1): 425–454; includes Supplement, 1-36 [CFP 1350]
CFDP 1782 Bergemann, Dirk
Välimäki, Juuso
"Efficient Search by Committee" (January 2011) [10pp, abstract]
CFDP 1783 Otsu, Taisuke "Large Deviations of Generalized Method of Moments and Empirical Likelihood Estimators" (February 2011) [16pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometrics Journal (July 2011), 14(2): 321-329 [CFP 1334]
CFDP 1784 Case, Karl E.
Quigley, John M.
Shiller, Robert J.
"Wealth Effects Revisited 1978-2009" (February 2011) [40pp, abstract]
CFDP 1785 Otsu, Taisuke "Moderate Deviations of Generalized Method of Moments and Empirical Likelihood Estimators" (February 2011) [22pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Multivariate Analysis (2011), 102(8): 1203-1216 [CFP 1335]
CFDP 1786 Shubik, Martin
Sudderth, William
"Cost Innovation: Schumpeter and Equilibrium. Part 1. Robinson Crusoe" (March 2011, Revised August 2011) [30pp, abstract]
CFDP 1787 Berry, Steven T.
Haile, Philip A.
"Identification in a Class of Nonparametric Simultaneous Equations Models" (March 2011) [24pp, abstract]
CFDP 1787R Berry, Steven T.
Haile, Philip A.
"Identification in a Class of Nonparametric Simultaneous Equations Models" (March 2011, Revised April 2011) [23pp, abstract]
CFDP 1788 Shiller, Robert J.
Shiller, Virginia M.
"Economists as Worldly Philosophers" (March 2011) [12pp, abstract]
CFDP 1789 Canay, Ivan
Otsu, Taisuke
"Hodges-Lehmann Optimality for Testing Moment Conditions" (March 2011) [18pp, abstract]
CFDP 1790 Bravo, Francesco
Escanciano, Juan Carlos
Otsu, Taisuke
"A Simple Test for Identification in GMM under Conditional Moment Restrictions" (March 2011) [20pp, abstract]
CFDP 1791 Matsushita, Yukitoshi
Otsu, Taisuke
"Second-order Refinement of Empirical Likelihood for Testing Overidentifying Restrictions" (April 2011, Revised January 2012) [32pp, abstract]
CFDP 1792 Otsu, Taisuke "Empirical Likelihood for Nonparametric Additive Models" (April 2011) [28pp, abstract]
CFDP 1793 Camponovo, Lorenzo
Otsu, Taisuke
"Breakdown Point Theory for Implied Probability Bootstrap" (April 2011) [14pp, abstract]
CFDP 1794 Shiller, Robert J.
Wojakowski, Rafal M.
Ebrahim, M. Shahid
Shackleton, Mark B.
"Continuous Workout Mortgages" (April 2011) [41pp, abstract]
CFDP 1795 Chen, Xiaohong
Chernozhukov, Victor
Lee, Sokbae
Newey, Whitney
"Local Identification of Nonparametric and Semiparametric Models" (April 2011) [abstract, 30pp]
CFDP 1795R Chen, Xiaohong
Chernozhukov, Victor
Lee, Sokbae
Newey, Whitney
"Local Identification of Nonparametric and Semiparametric Models" (April 2011, Revised November 2012) [abstract, 45pp]
CFDP 1796 Camponovo, Lorenzo
Otsu, Taisuke
"Robustness of Bootstrap in Instrumental Variable Regression" (April 2011) [abstract, 24pp]
CFDP 1797 Chernozhukov, Victor
Fernández-Val, Iván
Kowalski, Amanda
"Quantile Regression with Censoring and Endogeneity" (April 2011) [abstract, 50pp]
CFDP 1798 Kanaya, Shin
Otsu, Taisuke
"Large Deviations of Realized Volatility" (May 2011) [abstract, 37pp]
CFDP 1799 Otsu, Taisuke
Xu, Ke-Li
"Empirical Likelihood for Regression Discontinuity Design" (May 2011) [abstract, 36pp]
CFDP 1800 Fostel, Ana
Geanakoplos, John
"Endogenous Leverage: VaR and Beyond" (May 2011) [abstract, 30pp]
CFDP 1801 Andrews, Donald W.K. "Examples of L2-Complete and Boundedly-Complete Distributions" (May 2011) [abstract, 25pp]
CFDP 1802 Golosov, Mikhail
Skreta, Vasiliki
Tsyvinski, Aleh
Wilson, Andrea
"Dynamic Strategic Information Transmission" (May 2011, Revised June 2011) [abstract, 48pp]
CFDP 1803 Ackerberg, Daniel
Chen, Xiaohong
Hahn, Jinyong
"A Practical Asymptotic Variance Estimator for Two-Step Semiparametric Estimators" (May 2001) [abstract, 50pp] Reprinted in Review of Economics and Statistics (May 2012), 94(2): 482-498 [CFP 1357]
CFDP 1804 Chen, Xiaohong "Penalized Sieve Estimation and Inference of Semi-Nonparametric Dynamic Models: A Selective Review" (May 2011) [abstract, 56pp]
CFDP 1805 Grant, Simon
Polak, Ben
"Mean-Dispersion Preferences and Constant Absolute Uncertainty Aversion" (June 2011) [abstract, 54pp]
CFDP 1806 Berry, Steven
Gandhi, Amit
Haile, Philip
"Connected Substitutes and Invertibility of Demand" (June 2011) [abstract, 29pp]
CFDP 1806R Berry, Steven
Gandhi, Amit
Haile, Philip
"Connected Substitutes and Invertibility of Demand" (June 2011, Revised July 2012) [abstract, 33pp]
CFDP 1807 Fair, Ray C. "What It Takes to Solve the U.S. Government Deficit Problem" (July 2011, Revised May 2012) [abstract, 24pp]
CFDP 1808 Shubik, Martin "The Present and Future of Game Theory" (July 2011) [abstract, 20pp]
CFDP 1809 Fostel, Ana
Geanakoplos, John
"Tranching, CDS and Asset Prices: How Financial Innovation Can Cause Bubbles and Crashes" (July 23, 2011) [abstract, 47pp]
CFDP 1809R Fostel, Ana
Geanakoplos, John
"Tranching, CDS and Asset Prices: How Financial Innovation Can Cause Bubbles and Crashes" (July 2011, Revised August 2011) [abstract, 48pp] Reprinted in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (January 2012), 4(1): 190-225 [CFP 1353]
CFDP 1810 Mailath, George J.
Postlewaite, Andrew
Samuelson, Larry
"Pricing and Investments in Matching Markets" (July 2011) [abstract, 68pp]
CFDP 1811 Gilboa, Itzhak
Samuelson, Larry
Schmeidler, David
"Dynamics of Inductive Inference in a Unified Framework" (July 2011) [abstract, 43pp]
CFDP 1812 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Guggenberger, Patrik
"A Conditional-Heteroskedasticity-Robust Confidence Interval for the Autoregressive Parameter" (August 2011) [33pp, abstract]
CFDP 1812R Andrews, Donald W.K.
Guggenberger, Patrik
"A Conditional-Heteroskedasticity-Robust Confidence Interval for the Autoregressive Parameter" (August 2011, Revised December 2012) [39pp, abstract]
CFDP 1813 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Cheng, Xu
Guggenberger, Patrik
"Generic Results for Establishing the Asymptotic Size of Confidence Sets and Tests" (August 2011) [47pp, abstract]
CFDP 1814 Quint, Thomas
Shubik, Martin
"The Demonetization of Gold: Transactions and the Change in Control" (August 2011) [48pp, abstract]
CFDP 1815 Andrews, Donald W.K. "Similar-on-the-Boundary Tests for Moment Inequalities Exist, But Have Poor Power" (August 2011) [19pp, abstract]
CFDP 1815R Andrews, Donald W.K. "Similar-on-the-Boundary Tests for Moment Inequalities Exist, But Have Poor Power" (August 2011, Revised March 2012) [22pp, abstract]
CFDP 1816 Albagli, Elias
Hellwig, Christian
Tsyvinski, Aleh
"Information Aggregation, Investment, and Managerial Incentives" (August 2011) [37pp, abstract]
CFDP 1817 Shiller, Robert J. "Irving Fisher, Debt Deflation and Crises" (August 2011) [8pp, abstract]
CFDP 1818 Bergemann, Dirk
Morris, Stephen
"Robust Mechanism Design: An Introduction" (August 2011) [47pp, abstract] Reprinted in Foundations and Trends in Microeconomics (2012), 8(3): 169-230 [CFP 1376]
CFDP 1819 Friedman, Daniel
Sunder, Shyam
"Risky Curves: From Unobservable Utility to Observable Opportunity Sets" (August 2011) [30pp, abstract]
CFDP 1820 Chen, M. Keith "The Effect of Language on Economic Behavior: Evidence from Savings Rates, Health Behaviors, and Retirement Assets" (August 2011, Revised December 2012) [56pp, abstract]
CFDP 1821 Bergemann, Dirk
Morris, Stephen
"Robust Predictions in Games with Incomplete Information" (September 2011) [63pp, abstract]
CFDP 1821R Bergemann, Dirk
Morris, Stephen
"Robust Predictions in Games with Incomplete Information" (September 2011, Revised December 2011) [49pp, abstract]
CFDP 1821RR Bergemann, Dirk
Morris, Stephen
"Robust Predictions in Games with Incomplete Information" (September 2011, Revised October 2012) [54pp, abstract]
CFDP 1821R3 Bergemann, Dirk
Morris, Stephen
"Robust Predictions in Games with Incomplete Information" (September 2011, Revised March 2013) [59pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometrica (July 2013), 81(4): 1251-1308 [CFP 1381]
CFDP 1822 Bergemann, Dirk
Morris, Stephen
"Correlated Equilibrium in Games with Incomplete Information" (October 2011) [61pp, abstract]
CFDP 1823 Miller, David A.
Rozen, Kareen
"Optimally Empty Promises and Endogenous Supervision" (October 2011, Revised June 2012) [44pp, abstract]
CFDP 1824 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Cheng, Xu
"Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Uniform Inference with Sporadic Identification Failure," Supplemental Appendix (October 2011) [71pp, abstract]
CFDP 1824R Andrews, Donald W.K.
Cheng, Xu
"Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Uniform Inference with Sporadic Identification Failure," Supplemental Appendix (October 2011, Revised October 2012) [55pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Econometrics (March 2013), 173(1): 36–56 [CFP 1375]
CFDP 1825 Camponovo, Lorenzo
Otsu, Taisuke
"On Bartlett Correctability of Empirical Likelihood in Generalized Power Divergence Family" (October 2011) [7pp, abstract]
CFDP 1826 Nordhaus, William "Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Background and Results from the RICE-2011 Model" (October 2011) [48pp, abstract]
CFDP 1827 Albagli, Elias
Hellwig, Christian
Tsyvinski, Aleh
"A Theory of Asset Prices Based on Heterogeneous Information" (October 2011) [43pp, abstract]
CFDP 1828 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Cheng, Xu
"GMM Estimation and Uniform Subvector Inference with Possible Identification Failure," Supplemental Appendix (October 2011) [75pp, abstract]
CFDP 1828R Andrews, Donald W.K.
Cheng, Xu
"GMM Estimation and Uniform Subvector Inference with Possible Identification Failure," Supplemental Appendix (October 2011, Revised January 2013) [58pp, abstract]
CFDP 1829 Dillenberger, David
Postlewaite, Andrew
Rozen, Kareen
"Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility" (October 2011) [19pp, abstract]
CFDP 1830 Huber, Juergen
Shubik, Martin
Sunder, Shyam
"Financing of Public Goods through Taxation in a General Equilibrium Economy: Theory and Experimental Evidence" (October 2011) [35pp, abstract]
CFDP 1830R Huber, Juergen
Shubik, Martin
Sunder, Shyam
"Financing of Public Goods through Taxation in a General Equilibrium Economy: Experimental Evidence" (October 2011, Revised April 2013) [39pp, abstract]
CFDP 1831 Bonatti, Alessandro
Hörner, Johannes
"Career Concerns with Coarse Information" (October 2011, Updated January 2012) [93pp, abstract]
CFDP 1832 Zhang, Yonghui
Su, Liangjun
Phillips, Peter C.B.
"Testing for Common Trends in Semiparametric Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects" (October 2011) [42pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometrics Journal (2012), 15: 56-100 [CFP 1368]
CFDP 1833 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Meritocracy Voting: Measuring the Unmeasurable" (October 2011) [24pp, abstract]
CFDP 1834 Bergemann, Dirk
Eisenbach, Thomas
Feigenbaum, Joan
Shenker, Scott
"Pricing under the Threat of Piracy: Flexibility and Platforms for Digital Goods" (November 2011) [22pp, abstract]
CFDP 1835 Dubey, Pradeep
Geanakoplos, John
Haimanko, Ori
"Prizes versus Wages with Envy and Pride" (November 2011) [26pp, abstract] Reprinted in Japanese Economic Review (2012) [CFP 1367]
CFDP 1836 Chen, Xiaohong
Tamer, Elie
Torgovitsky, Alexander
"Sensitivity Analysis in Semiparametric Likelihood Models" (November 2011) [58pp, abstract]
CFDP 1837 Geanakoplos, John "Greek Debt and American Debt: Graduation Speech at the University of Athens Economics and Business School" (November 2011) [13pp, abstract]
CFDP 1838 Geanakoplos, John
Pedersen, Lasse H.
"Monitoring Leverage" (November 2011) [18pp, abstract]
CFDP 1839 Nordhaus, William D. "Integrated Economic and Climate Modeling" (December 2011) [99pp, abstract]
CFDP 1840 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Shi, Xiaoxia
"Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Supplemental Appendix (December 2011) [67pp, abstract]
CFDP 1840R Andrews, Donald W.K.
Shi, Xiaoxia
"Nonparametric Inference Based on Conditional Moment Inequalities," Supplemental Appendix (December 2011, Revised February 2013) [44pp, abstract]
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