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Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics

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DISCUSSION PAPERS, 1992

No.

Author(s) Title
CFDP 1004 Fair, Ray C. "The Cowles Commission Approach, Real Business Cycle Theories, and New Keynesian Economics" [22pp, abstract] Reprinted in Michael T. Belongia and Michelle R. Garfinkel (eds.), The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence, 1992, pp. 133-147 [CFP 821]
CFDP 1005 Fair, Ray C. "Estimates of the Bias of Lagged Dependent Variable Coefficient Estimates in Macroeconomic Equations" [19pp, abstract]
CFDP 1006 Case, Karl E.
Shiller, Robert J.
Weiss, Allan N.
"Index-Based Futures and Options Markets in Real Estate" [25pp, abstract]
CFDP 1007 Hajivassiliou, Vassilis A. "Simulation Estimation Methods for Limited Dependent Variable Models" [33pp, abstract] Reprinted in G.S. Maddala, C.R. Rao and H.D. Vinod, eds., Handbook of Statistics, Elsevier, Vol. 11, 1993, pp. 519-543 [CFP 862]
CFDP 1008 Maheswaran, S.
Sims, Christopher A.
"Empirical Implications of Arbitrage-Free Asset Markets" [32pp, abstract]
CFDP 1009 Nordhaus, William D. "The "DICE" Model: Background and Structure of a Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy Model of the Economics of Global Warming" [133pp, abstract]
CFDP 1010 Mendelsohn, Robert
Nordhaus, William D.
Shaw, Daigee
"The Impact of Climate on Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach" [49pp, abstract] Reprinted as "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis" in American Economic Review (1994), 84(4): 753-771 [CFP 876]
CFDP 1011 Sims, Christopher A. "Interpreting the Macroeconomic Time Series Facts: The Effects of Monetary Policy" [29pp, abstract] Reprinted in European Economic Review (1991), 36: 974-1011 [CFP 823]
CFDP 1012 Shiller, Robert J.
Kon-Ya, Fumiko
Tsutsui, Yoshiro
"Expanding the Scope of Expectations Data Collection: The U.S. and Japanese Stock Markets" [51pp, abstract] Reprinted as "Why Did the Nikkei Crash? Expanding the Scope of Expectations Data Collection" in Review of Economics and Statistics (1996) 78(1): 156-164 [CFP 922]
CFDP 1013 Tobin, James "Money" [33pp, abstract] Reprinted in n Peter Newman, Murray Milgate and John Eatwell (eds.), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, 1992, pp. 770-779 [CFP 826]
CFDP 1014 Shubik, Martin
Yao, Shuntian
"Transactions Loans, Intertemporal Loans, Variable Velocity, the Rates of Interest and Commodity Money: Part 1. Transactions Loans" [24pp, abstract]
CFDP 1015 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Ploberger, Werner
"Optimal Tests When a Nuisance Parameter Is Present Only Under the Alternative" [62pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometrica (November 1994), 62(6): 1383-1414 [CFP 879]
CFDP 1016 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Lee, Inpyo
Ploberger, Werner
"Optimal Changepoint Tests for Normal Linear Regressions" [32pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Econometrics (1996), 70: 9-38 [CFP 925]
CFDP 1017 Phillips, Peter C.B.
Ploberger, Werner
"Posterior Odds Testing for a Unit Root with Data-Based Model Selection" [35pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometric Theory (1994), 10: 774-808 [CFP 878]
CFDP 1018 Hajivassiliou, Vassilis A.
Ioannides, Yannis M.
"A Note on the Dual Approach to the Existence and Characterization of Optimal Consumption Decisions Under Uncertainty and Liquidity Constraints" [24pp, abstract]
CFDP 1019 Nordhaus, William D. "Rolling the 'Dice': An Optimal Transition Path for Controlling Greenhouse Gases" [33pp, abstract] Reprinted in Resource and Energy Economics (1993), 15: 27-50 [CFP 836]
CFDP 1020 Andrews, Donald W.K. "An Introduction to Econometric Applications of Functional Limit Theory for Dependent Random Variables" [40pp, abstract] Reprinted as "An Introduction to Econometric Applications of Empirical Process Theory for Dependent Random Variables" in Econometric Review (1993), 12(2): 183-216 [CFP 837]
CFDP 1021R Hajivassiliou, Vassilis A.
McFadden, Daniel
Ruud, Paul
"Simulation of Multivariate Normal Rectangle Probabilities: Theoretical and Computational Results" (1994) [43pp, abstract] Reprinted as "Simulation of Multivariate Normal Rectangle Probabilities and Their Derivatives: Theoretical and Computational Results" in Journal of Econometrics (1996), 72: 85-134 [CFP 924]
CFDP 1022 Grandmont, Jean-Michel "Expectations Driven Nonlinear Business Cycles" [39pp, abstract]
CFDP 1023 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Bayesian Model Selection and Prediction with Empirical Applications" [31pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Econometrics (1995), 69: 289-331 [CFP 911]
CFDP 1024 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Bayes Models and Forecasts of Australian Macroeconomic Time Series" [33pp, abstract] Reprinted in Colin P. Hargreaves, ed., Nonstationary Time Series Analysis and Cointegration, 1994, pp. 53-86 [CFP 897]
CFDP 1025 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Bayes Methods for Trending Multiple Time Series with an Empirical Application to the US Economy" [69pp, abstract]
CFDP 1026 Andrews, Donald W.K.
Chen, Hong-Yuan
"Approximately Median-Unbiased Estimation of Autoregressive Models with Applications to U.S. Macroeconomic and Financial Time Series" [47pp, abstract] Reprinted as "Approximately Median-Unbiased Estimation of Autoregressive Models" in Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (April 1994), 12(2): 186-204 [CFP 867]
CFDP 1027 Ghysels, Eric "Christmas, Spring and the Dawning of Economic Recovery" [25pp, abstract]
CFDP 1028 Ghysels, Eric "On the Periodic Structure of the Business Cycle" [25pp, abstract]
CFDP 1029 Scarf, Herbert E. "Tjalling Charles Koopmans (August 28, 1910-February 26, 1985)" abstract]
CFDP 1030R Tobin, James "Poverty in Relation to Macroeconomic Trends, Cycles, and Policies" (1993) [35pp, abstract] Reprinted in Sheldon H. Danziger, Gary D. Sandefur, and Daniel H. Weinberg, eds., Confronting Poverty, Prescription for Change, 1994, pp. 148-167 [CFP 877]
CFDP 1031R Dubey, Pradeep
Geanakoplos, John
Shubik, Martin
"Is Gold an Efficient Store of Value?" (2002) [15pp, abstract] Reprinted in Economic Theory (2003), 21: 767-782 [CFP 1084]
CFDP 1032 Barany, Imre
Howe, Roger
Scarf, Herbert E.
"The Complex of Maximal Lattice Free Simplices" [15pp, abstract] Reprinted in Mathematical Programming (1994), 66: 273-281 [CFP 888]
CFDP 1033 Karatzas, Ioannis
Shubik, Martin
Sudderth, William D.
"Construction of Stationary Markov Equilibria in a Strategic Market Game" [44pp, abstract] Reprinted in Mathematics of Operations Research (November 1994), 19(4): 975-1006 [CFP 884]
CFDP 1034 Sims, Christopher A. "A Nine Variable Probabilistic Macroeconomic Forecasting Model" [37pp, abstract]
CFDP 1035 Andrews, Donald W.K. "The Large Sample Correspondence Between Classical Hypothesis Tests and Bayesian Posterior Odds Tests" [40pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometrica (September 1994), 62(5): 1207-1232 [CFP 874]
CFDP 1036 Shiller, Robert J. "Measuring Asset Values for Cash Settlement in Derivative Markets: Hedonic Repeated Measures Indices and Perpetual Futures" [35pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Finance (July 1993), 48(3): 911-931 [CFP 856]
CFDP 1037 Miller, John M.
Shubik, Martin
"Some Dynamics of a Strategic Market Game with a Large Number of Agents" [29pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Economics (1994), 60(1): 1-28 [CFP 881]
CFDP 1038 Phillips, Peter C.B.
Ploberger, Werner
"Time Series Modeling with a Bayesian Frame of Reference: Concepts, Illustrations and Asymptotics" [66pp, abstract]
CFDP 1039 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Some Exact Distribution Theory for Maximum Likelihood Estimators of Cointegrating Coefficients in Error Correction Models" [28pp, abstract] Reprinted in Econometrica (January 1994), 62(1): 73-93 [CFP 864]
CFDP 1040 Phillips, Peter C.B. "Hyper-Consistent Estimation of a Unit Root in Time Series Regression" [20pp, abstract]
CFDP 1041 Ericson, Richard
Pakes, Ariel
"An Alternative Theory of Firm and Industry Dynamics" [69pp, abstract]
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