CFDP 1294, "Expected Utility Theory without the Completeness Axiom" (January 2001) (with Juan Dubra, Fabio Maccheroni) [12pp, abstract

CFDP 1741, "A Specification Test for Instrumental Variables Regression with Many Instruments" (December 2009) (with Yoonseok Lee) [abstract, 28pp]

CFDP 40, "The Value of Anticipations Data in Forecasting National Product" (October 1957) [74pp] [CFP 153]

CFDP 45, "A Review of Some Economic Forecasts for 1955 and 1957" (December 1957) [26pp] [CFP 135]

CFDP 87, "On the Appraisal of Cyclical Turning Point Predictors" (December 1959) [27pp] [CFP 144]

CFDP 125, "Monetary Policy, Debt Management and Interest Rates: A Quantitative Appraisal" (June 1961) [70pp] [CFP 210a]

CFP 135, "A Review of Some Economic Forecasts for 1955-57." Econometrica (July 1959), 32(3): 199-211 [CFDP 45]

CFP 144, "On the Appraisal of Cyclical Turning Point Predictors." Journal of Business of the University of Chicago (April 1960), 33(2): 101-120 [CFDP 87]

CFP 153, "The Value of Anticipations Data in Forecasting National Product." In Quality and Economic Significance of Anticipations Data, Princeton University Press for the National Bureau of Economic Research, Special Conference Series, Vol. 10, 1960, pp. 406-460 [CFDP 40]

CFP 190, "Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance." 1962 Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association, pp. 1-7

CFP 197, "Comment on Friedman's and Schwartz's Money and Business Cycles." Review of Economics and Statistics, 45(1)2, Supplement (1963), 45(1)2: 72-77

CFP 202, "Investment Demand at Full Employment." In 1963 Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section of the American Statistical Association, 1963, pp. 232-236

CFP 210a, "Monetary Policy, Debt Management and Interest Rates: A Quantitative Appraisal." In Stabilization Policies, prepared for the Commission on Money and Credit, 1963, pp. 331-380 [CFDP 125]

CFDP 1066, "A Limit Theorem for a Smooth Class of Semiparametric Estimators" (January 1994) (with Ariel Pakes) [56pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Econometrics (1995), 65(1): 295-332 [doi:org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01605-Y]

CFDP 1707, "The Effects of the Security Environment on Military Expenditures: Pooled Analyses of 165 Countries, 1950-2000" (June 2009, revised October 2009) (William D. Nordhaus, Bruce Russett) [abstract, 34pp]

CFDP 1559, "Lexicographic Composition of Simple Games" (February 2006) (with Bezalel Peleg) [24pp, abstract] Reprinted in Games and Economic Behavior (March 2008), 62(2): 628-642 [doi:10.1016/j.geb.2007.06.005]

CFDP 1560, "Nuclear Weapons and National Prestige" (February 2006) [43pp, abstract]

CCDP Economics 2068, "On the Arbitrage Problem" (with J. Kiefer) [10pp] (February 1953)

CFDP 628, "Equilibria for a Three-Person Location Problem" (April 1982) (with Carolyn Pitchik) [26pp, abstract]

CFDP 668, "Profit-Sharing in a Collusive Industry" (June 1983) (with Carolyn Pitchik) [25pp, abstract] Reprinted in European Economic Review (1983), 22: 59-74

CFDP 1381, "College Football Rankings and Market Efficiency" (September 2002, revised March 2005) (with Ray C. Fair [23pp, abstract] [Old title: "Comparing the Predictive Information Content of College Football Rankings"] Reprinted in Journal of Sports Economics (February 2007), 3-18

CFDP 708, "Job Discrimination, Market Forces and the Invisibility Hypothesis" (June 1984) (with Paul R. Milgrom) [46pp, abstract]

CFDP 708R, "Job Discrimination, Market Forces and the Invisibility Hypothesis" (Revised June 1985) (with Paul R. Milgrom) [42pp, abstract] Reprinted in Quarterly Journal of Economics (August 1987), 102: 453-476

CFDP 349, "Money and the Decentralization of Exchange" (January 1973) (with Ross M. Starr) [52pp, abstract] [CFP 422]

CFP 422, "Money and the Decentralization of Exchange." Econometrica (November 1974), 42(6): 1093-1113 (with Ross M. Starr) [CFDP 349]

CFDP 1199, "Price Competition for an Informed Buyer" (October 1998) (with Giuseppe Moscarini) [43pp, abstract] Reprinted in Journal of Economic Theory (Dec. 2001), 101(2): 457-493

CFDP 731, "The Exact Distribution of the Wald Statistic: The Non-Central Case" (November 1984) (with Peter C.B. Phillips) [13pp, abstract]

CFDP 809R, "Testing for Cointegration Using Principal Component Measures" (Revised July 1987) (with Peter C.B. Phillips) [38pp, NO p. 2] abstract] [CFP 723]

CFDP 847R, "Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration" (Revised July 1988) (with Peter C.B. Phillips) [47pp, abstract] [CFP 746]

CFDP 880, "Testing for a Unit Root in the Presence of a Maintained Trend" (June 1988) (with Peter C.B. Phillips, Joon Y. Park) [40pp, abstract] [CFP 756]

CFDP 997, "A Reexamination of the Consumption Function Using Frequency Domain Regressors" (October 1991) (with Dean Corbae, Peter C.B. Phillips) [18pp, abstract] [CFP 894]

CFDP 1163, "Band Spectral Regression with Trending Data" (September 1997) (with Dean Corbae, Peter C.B. Phillips) [46pp, abstract] [CFP 1039]

CFP 723, "Testing for Cointegration Using Principal Components Measures." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control (1988), 12: 205-230 (with Peter C.B. Phillips) [CFDP 809R]

CFP 746, "Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration." Econometrica (January 1990), 58(1): 165-193 (with Peter C.B. Phillips) [CFDP 847R]

CFP 756, "Testing for a Unit Root in the Presence of a Maintained Trend." In B. Raj, ed., Advances in Econometrics and Modelling, 1989, pp. 7-28 (with Joon Y. Park, Peter C.B. Phillips) [CFDP 880]

CFP 894, "A Reexamination of the Consumption Function Using Frequency Domain Regressions." Empirical Economics (1994), 19: 595-609 (with Dean Corbae, Peter C.B. Phillips) [CFDP 997]

CFP 1039, "Band Spectral Regression with Trending Data." Econometrica (May 2002), 70(3): 1067-1109 (with Peter Phillips, Dean Corbae) [CFDP 1163]

CFP 1134, "Abrupt Climate Change." Science (March 28, 2003), 299: 2005-2010 (with R.B. Alley, J. Marotzke, W.D. Nordhaus, J.T. Peteet, R.A. Pielke Jr., R.T. Pierrehumbert, P.B. Rhines, T.F. Stocker, L.D. Talley, J.M. Wallace)

CFDP 1425, "Fundamental R&D Spillovers and the Internationalization of a Firm's Research Activities" (May 2003) (with Bernard Franck) [53pp, abstract]

CFDP 1563, "Optimal Pricing with Recommender Systems" (March 2006) (with Dirk Bergemann) [12pp, abstract] [CFP 1178]

CFDP 1568, "Efficient Recommender Systems" (June 2006) (with Dirk Bergemann) [4pp, abstract] [CFP 1196]

CFP 1177, "Optimal Pricing with Recommender Systems." Proceedings of the 7th ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce, Ann Arbor, MI, 2006, pp. 43-51 (with Dirk Bergemann) [CFDP 1563]

CFP 1196, "Efficient Recommender Systems," Proceedings of the 8th IEEE International Conference on E-Commerce Technology and the 3rd IEEE International Conference on Enterprise Computing, and E-Services (with Dirk Bergemann) [CFDP 1568]

CFDP 1621, "Probabilistic Sophistication and Stochastic Monotonicity in the Savage Framework" (August 2007) (with Simon Grant, Ben Polak) [15pp, abstract] Reprinted in Mathematical Social Sciences (2008), 55: 371-380 [doi: 10.1016/j.mathsocsci.2007.10.002]