CFDP 241, "The Optimal Life of a Patent" (November 1967) [38pp, abstract]

CFDP 265, "An Economic Theory of Technological Change" (February 1969) [27pp] Reprinted in Reprinted in Economic Theory (August 2006), 28(3): 481-512 [doi:10.1007/s00199-005-0648-z] [CFP 297]

CFDP 296, "Recent Developments in Price Dynamics" (August 1970) [73pp, NO p. 53] Reprinted in The Econometrics of Price Determination Conference, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, 1972, pp. 16-49 [CFP 377]

CFDP 319, "Is Growth Obsolete?" (October 1971) (with James Tobin) [120pp] Reprinted in Milton Moss, ed., The Measurement of Economic and Social Performance, Studies in Income and Wealth, Vol. 38, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1973, pp. 509-532 [CFP 398]

CFDP 329, "The Effects of Inflation on the Distribution of Economic Welfare" (February 1972) [71pp] Reprinted in Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (1973), 5(1)(2): 465-408 [CFP 386]

CFDP 333, "Political Business Cycle" (April 1972) [69pp]

CFDP 405, "The Demand for Energy: An International Perspective" (September 1975) [77pp]

CFDP 415, "Inflation Theory and Policy" (January 1976) [12pp] Reprinted in American Economic Review (May 1976), 66(2): 59-64 [CFP 436]

CFDP 435, "Economic Growth and Climate: The Carbon Dioxide Problem" (October 1976) [18pp] Reprinted in American Economic Association (February 1977), 67(1): 341-346 [CFP 443]

CFDP 443, "Strategies for the Control of Carbon Dioxide" (January 1977) [78pp]

CFDP 449, "What is the Value of Advanced Nuclear Power?" (February 1977) [53pp]

CFDP 457, "Modeling Technological Change: Use of Mathematical Programming Models in the Energy Sector" (June 1977) (with Ludo Van der Heyden) [56pp]

CFDP 532, "How Should We Revise Our Beliefs About Nuclear Power Safety After Three Mile Island?" (July 1979) [15pp, abstract]

CFDP 533, "Tax-Based Incomes Policies: A Better Mousetrap?" (July 1979) [25pp]

CFDP 534, "The Energy Crisis and Macroeconomic Policy" (July 1979) [13pp]

CFDP 555, "Policy Responses to the Productivity Slowdown" (June 1980) [51pp]

CFDP 565, "Thinking About Carbon Dioxide: Theoretical and Empirical Aspects of Optimal Control Strategies" (October 1980) [70pp, abstract]

CFDP 604, "Economic Policy in the Face of Declining Productivity Growth" (September 1981) [48pp] Reprinted in European Economic Review (1982), 18: 131-157 [CFP 553]

CFDP 611, "Macroconfusion: The Dilemmas of Economic Policy" (November 1981) [37pp] Reprinted in James Tobin, ed., Macroeconomics, Prices and Quantities, Essays in Memory of Arthur M. Okun, The Brookings Institution, 1983, pp. 247-284 [CFP 568]

CFDP 615, "How Fast Should We Graze the Global Commons?" (January 1982) [12pp, abstract] Reprinted in AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Review (May 1982), 72(2): 242-246 [CFP 547]

CFDP 648, "The Structure of Social Risk" (September 1982) (with Steven Durlauf) [28pp, abstract]

CFDP 717R, "Empirical Tests of the Rationality of Economic Forecasters: A Fixed Horizons Approach" (August 1984, revised November 1984) (with Steven N. Durlauf) [40pp, abstract]

CFDP 774, "Forecasting Efficiency: Concepts and Applications" (September 1985) [26pp, abstract] Reprinted in Review of Economics and Statistics (November 1987), 69(4): 667-674 [CFP 692]

CFDP 783, "The Share Economy: A Symposium" (February 1986) (with John Andrew) [80pp, abstract]

CFDP 793, ,"Resources, Technology, and Development: Will the Table Be Bare When Poor Countries Get There?" (May 1986) [21pp, abstract] Reprinted in Indian Economic Review (1986), 21(2): 81-94 [CFP 662]

CFDP 924, "Risk Analysis in Economics: An Application to University Finances" (September 1989) [47pp, abstract]

CFDP 927, "Alternative Approaches to the Political Business Cycle" (October 1989) [83pp, abstract] Reprinted in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1989), 2, 1989: 1-68 [CFP 748]

CFDP 982, "Stabilizing the Soviet Economy" (June 1991) [60pp] abstract] Reprinted in Merton J. Peck and Thomas J. Richardson, eds., What Is to Be Done?, 1991, pp. 83-115 [CFP 802]

CFDP 988, "The Ecology of Markets" (July 1991) [31pp, abstract] Reprinted in Presented at a colloquium entitled "Industrial Ecology" at the National Academy of Sciences (February 1992), 89: 843-850 [CFP 808]

CFDP 1009, "The 'DICE' Model: Background and Structure of a Dynamic Integrated Climate-Economy Model of the Economics of Global Warming" (February 1992) [133pp, abstract]

CFDP 1010, "The Impact of Climate on Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach" (February 1992) (with Robert Mendelsohn, Daigee Shaw) [49pp, abstract] Reprinted in American Economic Review (1994), 84(4): 753-771 [CFP 876]

CFDP 1019, "Rolling the 'Dice': An Optimal Transition Path for Controlling Greenhouse Gases" (June 1992) [33pp, abstract] Reprinted in Resource and Energy Economics (1993), 15: 27-50 [CFP 836]

CFDP 1045, "Measuring the Impact of Global Warming in Agriculture" (April 1993) (with Robert Mendelsohn, Daigee Shaw) [42pp, abstract]

CFDP 1067, "Marching to Different Drummers: Coordination and Independence in Monetary and Fiscal Policies" (January 1994) [52pp, abstract]

CFDP 1078, "Do Real Output and Real Wage Measures Capture Reality? The History of Lighting Suggests Not" (September 1994) [54pp, abstract] Reprinted in Timothy F. Bresnahan and Robert J. Gordon, eds., The Economics of New Goods, Vol. 58, 1997, pp. 29-66 [CFP 957]

CFDP 1079, "Locational Competition and the Environment: Should Countries Harmonize Their Environmental Policies?" (September 1994) [36pp, abstract] Reprinted in Horst Sieber, ed., Locational Competition in the World Economy: Symposium 1994, 1995, pp. 261-287 [CFP 920]

CFDP 1101, "How Should We Measure Sustainable Income?" (May 1995) [32pp, abstract]

CFDP 1117, "What is the Value of Scientific Knowledge? An Application to Global Warming Using the PRICE Model" (March 1996) (with David Popp) [49pp, abstract] Reprinted in The Energy Journal (1997), 18(1): 1-45 [CFP 941]

CFDP 1152, "Beyond the CPI: An Augmented Cost of Living Index (ACOLI)" (May 1997) [15pp, abstract]

CFDP 1200, "The Health of Nations: Irving Fisher and the Contribution of Improved Longevity to Living Standards" (October 1998) [33pp, abstract] Reprinted in American Journal of Economics and Sociology (January 2005), 64(1): 367-392 [doi:10.1111/j.1536-7150.2005.00367.x]

CFDP 1201, "Requiem for Kyoto: An Economic Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol" (November 1998) (with Joseph G. Boyer) [50pp, abstract]

CFDP 1282, "Alternative Methods for Measuring Productivity Growth" (November 2000) [16pp, abstract]

CFDP 1284, "Productivity Growth and the New Economy" (November 2000) [42pp. abstract] Reprinted in Brookings Papers on Economic Activities (2002), 2: 211-265 [CFP 1064]

CFDP 1286, "New Data and Output Concepts for Understanding Productivity Trends" (November 2000) [32pp] abstract]

CFDP 1324, "The Progress of Computing" (September 2001) [52pp, abstract]

CFDP 1355, "The Health of Nations: The Contribution of Improved Health to Living Standards" (February 2002) [56pp, abstract] Reprinted in Kevin Murphy and Robert Topel, eds., The Economic Value of Medical Research, University of Chicago Press, 2002

CFDP 1368, "The Mildest Recession: Outputs, Profits, and Stock Prices as the U.S. Emerges from the 2001 Recession" (May 2002) [31pp, abstract]

CFDP 1387, "The Economic Consequences of a War with Iraq" (December 2002) [51pp, abstract]

CFDP 1457, "Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Measurement" (April 2004) [27pp, abstract]

CFDP 1494, "Retrospective on the Postwar Productivity Slowdown" (November 2004) (including an appendix with Alexandra Miltner) [30pp, abstract]

CFDP 1685, "The Perils of the Learning Model For Modeling Endogenous Technological Change" (January 2009) [19pp, abstract]

CFDP 1686, "An Analysis of the Dismal Theorem" (January 2009) [abstract, 26pp]

CFDP 1705, "Measurement of Income with Time Use with Applications to Hedonic Indicators of Happiness and Misery" (June 2009) [abstract, 24pp]

CFDP 1707, "The Effects of the Security Environment on Military Expenditures: Pooled Analyses of 165 Countries, 1950-2000" (June 2009, revised October 2009) (with John R. Oneal, Bruce Russett) [abstract, 34pp]

CFDP 1716, "Alternative Policies and Sea-Level Rise in the RICE-2009 Model" (Updated August 29, 2009) [abstract, 23pp]

CFDP 1766, "The Value of Luminosity Data as a Proxy for Economic Statistics" (August 2010) (with Xi Chen) [43pp, abstract]

CFDP 1826, "Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Background and Results from the RICE-2011 Model" (October 2011) [48pp, abstract]

CFDP 1839, "Integrated Economic and Climate Modeling" (December 2011) [99pp, abstract]

CFDP 1857, "Improved Estimates of Using Luminosity as a Proxy for Economic Statistics: New Results and Estimates of Precision" (March 2012) (with Xi Chen) [44pp, abstract]

CFP 263, "The Optimal Rate and Direction of Technical Change." In Karl Shell (ed.), Essays on the Theory of Optimal Economic Growth, MIT Press, 1967, pp. 53-66

CFP 297, "An Economic Theory of Technological Change." American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings (1969), 59: 19-28 [CFDP 265]

CFP 307, "Tax Incentives for Low Income Housing." Proceedings of the Sixty-First Annual Conference on Taxation, National Tax Association, 1968, pp. 396-417

CFP 368, "The Optimum Life of a Patent: Reply." American Economic Review (1972), 62: 428-431

CFP 371, "Pricing in the Trade Cycle." The Economic Journal (September 1972), 82(327): 853-882 (with Wynne Godley)

CFP 374, "The Worldwide Wage Explosion." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1972), 2: 431-465

CFP 377, "Recent Developments in Price Dynamics." In The Econometrics of Price Determination Conference, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, 1972, pp. 16-49 [CFDP 296]

CFP 382, "The Recent Productivity Slowdown." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1972), 3: 493-545

CFP 386, "The Effects of Inflation on the Distribution of Economic Welfare" with Comments. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (1973), 5(1)(2): 465-408 [CFDP 329]

CFP 388, "Some Skeptical Thoughts on the Theory of Induced Innovation." Quarterly Journal of Economics (1973), 87: 208-219

CFP 398, "Is Growth Obsolete?" with Comments and Reply. In Milton Moss, ed., The Measurement of Economic and Social Performance, Studies in Income and Wealth, Vol. 38, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1973, pp. 509-532 (with James Tobin) [24pp] [CFDP 319]

CFP 399, "World Dynamics: Measurement Without Data." The Economic Journal (December 1973), 83(332): 1156-1183

CFP 401, "The Allocation of Energy Resources." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1973), 3: 529-576

CFP 406, "Resources as a Constraint on Growth." American Economic Review (May 1974), 64(2): 22-26

CFP 408, "The Falling Share of Profits." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1974), 1: 169-217

CFP 425, "The Political Business Cycle." Review of Economic Studies (April 1975), 43(2): 169-190

CFP 436, "Inflation Theory and Policy." American Economic Review (May 1976), 66(2): 59-64 [CFDP 415]

CFP 443, "Economic Growth and Climate: The Carbon Dioxide Problem." American Economic Association (February 1977), 67(1): 341-346 [CFDP 435]

CFP 517, "Oil and Economic Performance in Industrial Countries." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1980), 2: 341-399

CFP 547, "The Global Commons I: Costs and Climatic Effects. How Fast Should We Graze the Global Commons?" AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Review (May 1982), 72(2): 242-246 [CFDP 615]

CFP 553, "Economic Policy in the Face of Declining Productivity Growth." European Economic Review (1982), 18: 131-157 [CFDP 604]

CFP 568, "Macroconfusion: The Dilemmas of Economic Policy." In James Tobin, ed., Macroeconomics, Prices and Quantities, Essays in Memory of Arthur M. Okun, The Brookings Institution, 1983, pp. 247-284 [CFDP 611]

CFP 579, "A Review of Estimates of Future Carbon Dioxide Emissions." In Changing Climate (Report of the Carbon Dioxide Assessment Committee), National Academy Press, 1983, pp. 153-185 (with Jesse H. Ausubel)

CFP 580, "Future Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fossil Fuels." In Changing Climate (Report of the Carbon Dioxide Assessment Committee), National Academy Press, 1983, pp. 87-153 (with Gary W. Yohe)

CFP 583, "Reflections on Monetarism, Stagnation and Other North American Exports." International Social Science Journal (1983), 35(3): 494-506

CFP 611, "Reaganomics and Economic Growth: A Summing Up." In Charles R. Hulten and Isabel V. Sawhill (eds.), The Legacy of Reaganomics — Prospects for Long-term Growth, The Urban Institute Press, 1984, pp. 253-261

CFP 649, "COMMENT: 'A Geometrical Analysis of the Incentives for Default and Credit Rationing' by Daniel Cohen and Jeffrey Sachs." European Economic Review (1986), 30: 561-564

CFP 660, "Resources, Technology, and Development: Will the Table Be Bare When Poor Countries Get There?" Indian Economic Review (1986), 21(2): 81-94 [CFDP 793]

CFP 665, "The Council of Economic Advisers: Conscience or Advocate?" Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 25, North-Holland, 1986, pp. 265-278

CFP 692, "Forecasting Efficiency: Concepts and Applications." Review of Economics and Statistics (November 1987), 69(4): 667-674 [CFDP 774]

CFP 696, "Can the Share Economy Conquer Stagflation?" Quarterly Journal of Economics (February 1988), 201-217

CFP 748, "Alternative Approaches to the Political Business Cycle." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1989), 2, 1989: 1-68 [CFDP 927]

CFP 758, "Global Warming: Slowing the Greenhouse Express." In Henry J. Aaron, ed., Setting National Priorities, 1990, pp. 185-211

CFP 761, "Soviet Economic Reform: The Longest Road." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1990), 1, 1990: 287-318

CFP 775, "The Cost of Slowing Climate Change: A Survey." The Energy Journal (1991), 12(1): 37-65

CFP 791, "To Slow or Not to Slow: The Economics of the Greenhouse Effect." The Economic Journal (July 1991), 101: 920-937

CFP 802, "Stabilizing the Soviet Economy." In Merton J. Peck and Thomas J. Richardson, eds., What Is to Be Done?, 1991, pp. 83-115 [CFDP 982]

CFP 804, "The United States." In John Llewellyn and Stephen J. Potter, eds., Economic Policies for the 1990s, 1991, pp. 25-51

CFP 805, "Do Borders Matter? Soviet Economic Reform After the Coup." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1991), 2: 321-340 (with Merton J. Peck, Thomas J. Richardson)

CFP 808, "The Ecology of Markets." Presented at a colloquium entitled "Industrial Ecology" at the National Academy of Sciences (February 1992), 89: 843-850 [CFDP 988]

CFP 829, "An Optimal Transition Path for Controlling Greenhouse Gases." Science (November 20, 1992), 258: 1315-1319

CFP 831, "Lethal Model 2: The Limits to Growth Revisited." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1992), 2: 1-59

CFP 836, "'Rolling the DICE': An Optimal Transition Path for Controlling Greenhouse Gases." Resource and Energy Economics (1993), 15: 27-50 [CFDP 1019]

CFP 841, "Optimal Greenhouse-Gas Reductions and Tax Policy in the 'DICE' Model." AEA Papers and Proceedings (1993), 83(2): 313-317

CFP 847, "How Much Should We Invest in Preserving Our Current Climate?" In Herbert Giersch, ed., Economic Progress And Environmental Concerns, 1993, pp. 255-299

CFP 855, "Economic Growth on a Planet Under Siege." In Horst Siebert, ed., Symposium, Institut für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel, 1992, pp. 223-242

CFP 860, "Reflections on the Economics of Climate Change." Journal of Economic Perspectives (Fall 1993), 7(4): 11-25 7(4), 1993 [15pp]

CFP 876, "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis." American Economic Review (1994), 84(4): 753-771 (with Robert Mendelsohn, Daigee Shaw) [CFDP 1010]

CFP 883, "Policy Games: Coordination and Independence in Monetary and Fiscal Policies," with Discussion. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (1994), 2: 139-216

CFP 889, "Climate and Economic Development." Proceedings of the World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics, 1993, pp. 355-376

CFP 920, "Locational Competition and the Environment: Should Countries Harmonize Their Environmental Policies?" In Horst Sieber, ed., Locational Competition in the World Economy: Symposium 1994, 1995, pp. 261-287 [CFDP 1079]

CFP 930, "A Regional Dynamic General-Equilibrium Model of Alternative Climate-Change Strategies." American Economic Review (September 1996), 86(4): 741-765 (with Zilli Yang)

CFP 941, "What Is the Value of Scientific Knowledge? An Application to Global Warming Using the PRICE Model." The Energy Journal (1997), 18(1): 1-45 (with David Popp) [CFDP 1117]

CFP 951, "Reflections on the Concept of Sustainable Economic Growth." In Luigi L. Pasinetti and Robert M. Solow, eds., Economic Growth and the Structure of Long-Term Development, Vol. 112, 1994, pp. 310-325

CFP 957, "Do Real-Output and Real-Wage Measures Capture Reality? The History of Lighting Suggest Not." In Timothy F. Bresnahan and Robert J. Gordon, eds., The Economics of New Goods, Vol. 58, 1997, pp. 29-66 [CFDP 1078]

CFP 961, "Quality Change in Price Indexes." Journal of Economic Perspectives, 12(1), 1998 [10pp]

CFP 1006, "New Directions in National Economic Accounting." American Economic Review (May 2000), 90(2): 259-263

CFP 1045, "The Recent Recession, the Current Recovery, and Stock Prices." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 2002

CFP 1064, "Productivity Growth and the New Economy." Brookings Papers on Economic Activities (2002), 2: 211-265 [CFDP 1284]

CFP 1134, "Abrupt Climate Change." Science (March 28, 2003), 299: 2005-2010 (with R.B. Alley, J. Marotzke, J.T. Overpeck, J.T. Peteet, R.A. Pielke Jr., R.T. Pierrehumbert, P.B. Rhines, T.F. Stocker, L.D. Talley, J.M. Wallace)

CFM 26, The Efficient Use of Energy Resources. New Haven: Yale University Press, 1979