COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS
AT YALE UNIVERSITY

Box 208281
New Haven, CT 06520-8281

Lux et veritas

COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 1869

Runs, Panics and Bubbles: Diamond Dybvig and Morris Shin Reconsidered

Eric Smith and Martin Shubik

August 2012

The basic two-noncooperative-equilibrium-point model of Diamond and Dybvig is considered along with the work of Morris and Shin utilizing the possibility of outside noise to select a unique equilibrium point. Both of these approaches are essentially nondynamic. We add an explicit replicator dynamic from evolutionary game theory to provide for a sensitivity analysis that encompasses both models and contains the results of both depending on parameter settings.

JEL Classication: C73, D84, E59

Keywords: Multiple equilibria, Runs, Replicator dynamics, Sensitivity analysis