COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN
ECONOMICS Box 208281
COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 1650RR Estimation of Nonparametric Conditional Moment Models Xiaohong Chen and Demian Pouzo April 2008 This paper studies nonparametric estimation of conditional moment
restrictions in which the generalized residual functions can be nonsmooth in the unknown
functions of endogenous variables. This is a nonparametric nonlinear instrumental
variables (IV) problem. We propose a class of penalized sieve minimum distance (PSMD)
estimators, which are minimizers of a penalized empirical minimum distance criterion over
a collection of sieve spaces that are dense in the infinite dimensional function parameter
space. Some of the PSMD procedures use slowly growing finite dimensional sieves with
flexible penalties or without any penalty; others use large dimensional sieves with lower
semicompact and/or convex penalties. We establish their consistency and the convergence
rates in Banach space norms (such as a sup-norm or a root mean squared norm), allowing for
possibly non-compact infinite dimensional parameter spaces. For both mildly and severely
ill-posed nonlinear inverse problems, our convergence rates in Hilbert space norms (such
as a root mean squared norm) achieve the known minimax optimal rate for the nonparametric
mean IV regression. We illustrate the theory with a nonparametric additive quantile IV
regression. We present a simulation study and an empirical application of estimating
nonparametric quantile IV Engel curves. |