COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN
ECONOMICS Box 208281
COWLES FOUNDATION DISCUSSION PAPER NO. 1650R Estimation of Nonparametric Conditional Moment Models Xiaohong Chen (Yale) and Demian Pouzo (UC Berkeley) April 2008 This paper studies nonparametric estimation of conditional moment models in which the
generalized residual functions can be nonsmooth in the unknown functions of endogenous
variables. This is a nonparametric nonlinear instrumental variables (IV) problem. We
propose a class of penalized sieve minimum distance (PSMD) estimators which are minimizers
of a penalized empirical minimum distance criterion over a collection of sieve spaces that
are dense in the infinite dimensional function parameter space. Some of the PSMD
procedures use slowly growing finite dimensional sieves with flexible penalties or without
any penalty; some use large dimensional sieves with lower semicompact and/or convex
penalties. We establish their consistency and the convergence rates in Banach space norms
(such as a sup-norm or a root mean squared norm), allowing for possibly non-compact
infinite dimensional parameter spaces. For both mildly and severely ill-posed nonlinear
inverse problems, our convergence rates in Hilbert space norms (such as a root mean
squared norm) achieve the known minimax optimal rate for the nonparametric mean IV
regression. We illustrate the theory with a nonparametric additive quantile IV regression.
We present a simulation study and an empirical application of estimating nonparametric
quantile IV Engel curves. |